[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 17 11:30:32 CDT 2019
WTUS82 KTAE 171630
HLSTAE
FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-180030-
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Local Statement Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL AL162019
1230 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 /1130 AM CDT Thu Oct 17 2019/
This product covers EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA
**POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TO BRING IMPACTS TO THE REGION
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch have been issued
for Coastal Franklin and Coastal Gulf
- A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
for Coastal Dixie, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, and
Coastal Wakulla
- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Calhoun, Gadsden,
Holmes, Inland Dixie, Inland Jefferson, Inland Taylor, Inland
Wakulla, Jackson, Lafayette, Leon, Liberty, Madison, North
Walton, and Washington
- A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Central Walton,
Coastal Bay, Inland Bay, Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf, and
South Walton
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Coastal Franklin and Coastal Gulf
- A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
Coastal Dixie, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, and Coastal
Wakulla
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Calhoun, Gadsden,
Holmes, Inland Dixie, Inland Jefferson, Inland Taylor, Inland
Wakulla, Jackson, Lafayette, Leon, Liberty, Madison, North
Walton, and Washington
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Central Walton,
Coastal Bay, Inland Bay, Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf, and
South Walton
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 820 miles southwest of PANAMA CITY or about 830 miles
southwest of APALACHICOLA
- 22.4N 95.7W
- Storm Intensity 35 mph
- Movement North or 355 degrees at 8 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
OVERVIEW...
A disturbance over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico is expected to
develop into a tropical or subtropical storm later today or tonight,
as it moves northeast toward the region. Regardless of development,
this system will bring impacts to the region, beginning as early as
Friday. This includes the potential for life threatening inundation
from storm surge along the Florida Big Bend coast and minor coastal
flooding along the Panhandle coast. Tropical storm force winds of
39 mph or greater are likely near the Florida coast to the west of the
Ochlockonee River, and possible for the remainder of the panhandle.
The tornado threat is elevated across the Big Bend, where isolated
tornadoes are possible. Given the fast moving nature of the system,
the flooding rain threat is minimal, with only 2 to 4 inches of rain
expected with isolated 5 inch amounts. To reiterate, regardless of
development, confidence in the aforementioned impacts is increasing.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Florida Big Bend Coast east of Indian Pass.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Elsewhere across EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA, little to no
impact is anticipated.
* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts near the
Florida Panhandle coast west of the Ochlockonee River.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
Elsewhere across EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA, little to no
impact is anticipated.
* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the
Florida Big Bend.
Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
Elsewhere across EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA, little to no
impact is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including
possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind, falling
trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move, relocate to
a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep roadways open
for those under evacuation orders.
If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time to
get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle ahead of
time.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.
If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the Gulf of Mexico or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or
poor drainage area, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to
safe shelter on higher ground.
Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.
When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.
Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are
located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If
staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite
disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to
area visitors.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 6 PM, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list