[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT33 KNHC 020636 CCA
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Intermediate Advisory Number 39A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
200 AM AST Wed Oct 02 2019

Corrected distance from Flores

...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS HITTING THE WESTERN AZORES...
...TROPICAL-STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER THE CENTRAL AZORES...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.2N 31.3W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF FLORES ISLAND IN THE WESTERN AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Flores, Corvo, Faial, Pico, Sao Jorge, Graciosa, Terceira

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Miguel, Santa Maria

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area within the next couple of hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should have already been
completed. Seek shelter immediately.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was
located near latitude 40.2 North, longitude 31.3 West.  Lorenzo is
moving toward the northeast near 40 mph (65 km/h).  A continued fast
motion toward the northeast is expected through Thursday morning.
The cyclone is forecast to slow down and turn eastward by Thursday
night.  On the forecast track, the center of Lorenzo will be moving
away from the Azores today, and move near Ireland Thursday evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Only slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours,
and Lorenzo is expected to be a strong extratropical cyclone when it
approaches Ireland Thursday afternoon and evening.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 390
miles (630 km).  A sustained wind of 60 mph (95 km/h) with a gust to
85 mph (140 km/h) was recently reported at the Santa Cruz Airport at
Flores in the western Azores.  A sustained wind of 50 mph (75 km/h)
with a gust to 70 mph (110 km/h) was reported at Horta in the
central Azores.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lorenzo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to continued within the
hurricane warning area for the next several hours.

RAINFALL:  Lorenzo is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm) over the western Azores and up to 1
inch (25 mm) over the central Azores through Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Lorenzo have spread across much of the
North Atlantic basin, and are affecting the east coast of the United
States, Atlantic Canada, the Bahamas, portions of the Greater and
Lesser Antilles, the Azores, and portions of the coast of Europe.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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