[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT33 KNHC 011749
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Intermediate Advisory Number 37A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
200 PM AST Tue Oct 01 2019

...EYE OF VERY LARGE LORENZO MOVING CLOSER TO THE WESTERN AZORES...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE AZORES
EARLY TOMORROW...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.0N 36.8W
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SW OF FLORES IN THE WESTERN AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Flores, Corvo, Faial, Pico, Sao Jorge, Graciosa, Terceira

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Miguel, Santa Maria

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was
located near latitude 36.0 North, longitude 36.8 West. Lorenzo is
moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h).  The hurricane
should move in the same general direction but at a faster forward
speed during the next couple of days.  On the forecast track, the
center of Lorenzo is expected to pass near the western Azores early
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Only slow weakening is expected during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345
miles (555 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lorenzo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area early Wednesday morning, with tropical storm conditions
beginning tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are expected in
the tropical storm warning area by early Wednesday.

RAINFALL:  Lorenzo is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm) over the western Azores and up to 1
inch (25 mm) over the central Azores Tuesday and Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Lorenzo have spread across much of the
North Atlantic basin, and are affecting the east coast of the United
States, Atlantic Canada, the Bahamas, portions of the Greater and
Lesser Antilles, the Azores, and portions of the coast of Europe.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net