[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 16 15:33:12 CDT 2019


WTNT32 KWNH 162033
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry Advisory Number  26
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL022019
400 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BARRY MOVING ACROSS ILLINOIS...
...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING ONGOING IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.8N 89.2W
ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM ESE OF SPRINGFIELD ILLINOIS
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM W OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches are in effect from the Ark-La-Tex northeastward
into the Middle Mississippi Valley.

Flash Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of southern
Arkansas.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry
was located near latitude 39.8 North, longitude 89.2 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 18
mph (30 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through
Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 15 mph (30 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Barry is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches from portions of the Ohio
and Tennessee Valleys into the northern Mid-Atlantic through
Thursday.  Isolated maximum totals exceeding 5 inches are possible
across northern Mississippi.

Significant and life-threatening flash flooding is ongoing across
southern Arkansas from heavier rainfall earlier in the day.  An
additional 1 inch of rain is possible in this area into this
evening.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Bann

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  16/2100Z 39.8N  89.2W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  17/0600Z 40.8N  86.8W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  17/1800Z 41.4N  82.3W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  18/0600Z 41.6N  77.4W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
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