[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry Advisory Number  24
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL022019
400 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BARRY DRIFTING ACROSS MISSOURI...
...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING LIKELY THROUGH THIS MORNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.8N 92.3W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM NE OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI
ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM N OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches are in effect from the ARKLATEX eastward
through the Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley.

Flash Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of southern
Arkansas.

Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of southern Louisiana,
Arkansas, and Mississippi.

Coastal Flood Advisories are in effect for portions of the
Louisiana coast.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry
was located near latitude 37.8 North, longitude 92.3 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 14 mph (22
km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today with a gradual
turn more easterly by tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 15 mph (30 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Barry is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across portions of southern
Arkansas, northern Mississippi and far southwestern Tennessee.
Isolated maximum totals exceeding 10 inches are possible across
southwest Arkansas. Significant and life-threatening flash flooding
is expected through this morning across southwest Arkansas.

Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, locally higher, are
expected across portions of the Ohio Valley today into tonight.

Rainfall has ended in Texas and Louisiana. Storm total amounts there
were generally between 3 and 6 inches, but with embedded swaths of
dramatically higher totals. One gauge measured 23.43 inches to the
north of Lake Charles, Louisiana, near Ragley.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Chenard

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  16/0900Z 37.8N  92.3W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  16/1800Z 39.0N  90.5W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  17/0600Z 40.5N  86.8W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  17/1800Z 41.3N  83.7W   10 KT  10 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  18/0600Z 41.0N  81.0W   10 KT  10 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 72H  19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
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