[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jul 15 09:33:01 CDT 2019


WTNT32 KWNH 151432
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Barry Advisory Number  21
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL022019
1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH
ARKANSAS...
...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS LIKELY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.1N 93.4W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM WNW OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches and Warnings are in effect for portions of far
southeast Texas through the Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Barry
was located near latitude 35.1 North, longitude 93.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
motion is expected to become northeasterly on Tuesday and easterly
on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Barry is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts
of 8 inches across Arkansas, western Tennessee and Kentucky,
southeast Missouri, and northwest Mississippi.

A heavy band of rain is currently impacting portions of central
Louisiana into far southwest Mississippi. Additional rainfall of 3
to 5 inches with isolated totals of 8 inches is expected within
this band through this afternoon, with storm total rainfall
amounts up to 20 inches across Louisiana. Dangerous flash flooding
is likely across this area into this afternoon.

TORNADOES:  A couple of tornadoes are possible today from the
Mid-South toward the Lower Ohio Valley.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roth/Pagano

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  15/1500Z 35.1N  93.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND
 12H  16/0000Z 36.7N  93.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  16/1200Z 38.3N  91.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  17/0000Z 39.4N  89.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  17/1200Z 40.1N  86.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 72H  18/1200Z 41.6N  75.5W   15 KT  15 MPH...DISSIPATED
 96H  19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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