[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Barry Advisory Number  19
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL022019
1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTH TOWARD
ARKANSAS...
...LOCAL FLASH FLOODING REMAINS LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 93.5W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM N OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches and Warnings are in effect for portions of far
southeast Texas through much of Louisiana, Mississippi and
Arkansas, and including parts of the mid Mississippi Valley.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Barry
was located near latitude 33.5 North, longitude 93.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue through tonight. Barry is expected
to turn toward the northeast on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Barry is
expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by Monday evening.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Barry is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across portions of the lower
Mississippi Valley with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches across
eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee and Kentucky, southeast
Missouri, and northwest Mississippi.

Additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated storm
totals of 10-15 inches are expected across south-central Louisiana.
Dangerous flash flooding and some additional river flooding is
expected locally throughout the central Gulf Coast and lower
Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES:  A couple of tornadoes are possible tonight across parts
of southeast Louisiana, Mississippi, western Alabama,
eastern Arkansas, and western Tennessee. On Monday the risk of a
few tornadoes will expand northeastward from the Mid-South toward
the Ohio Valley.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next public advisory on Barry will be issued at 0400 AM CDT.

$$
Burke/Gallina

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  15/0300Z 33.5N  93.5W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  15/1200Z 34.8N  93.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  16/0000Z 36.1N  92.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  16/1200Z 38.1N  91.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  17/0000Z 39.9N  89.5W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 72H  18/0000Z...DISSIPATED
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