[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT32 KNHC 132121 CCA
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Barry Advisory Number  14...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022019
400 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

Corrected to remove Storm Surge Watch east of Biloxi

...BARRY MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, HEAVY RAINS, AND WIND CONDITIONS
CONTINUING ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.1N 92.3W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WSW OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

The Hurricane Warning for the Louisiana coast has been changed to a
Tropical Storm Warning.

The Tropical Storm Warning for the Louisiana coast has been
discontinued east of the Mouth of the Mississippi River.

The Storm Surge Watch east of Biloxi has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Sabine Pass
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New
Orleans

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City to Biloxi
* Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations.  For a
depiction of areas at risk please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov.  This is a life-threatening situation.  Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions.  Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Barry was
located near latitude 30.1 North, longitude 92.3 West.  Barry is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continued tonight.  A turn toward the
north is expected on Sunday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Barry will move across southern and southwestern Louisiana this
evening, through central Louisiana tonight, and through northern
Louisiana on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts, and these winds are near the coast to the
southeast of the center.  Additional weakening is expected as the
center moves farther inland, and Barry is forecast to weaken to a
depression on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.  A United State Geological Survey station at
Cypremort Point, Louisiana, recently reported sustained winds of
62 mph, while the National Ocean Service station at Eugene Island,
Louisiana, reported sustained winds of 55 mph and a wind gust of
72 mph.  In addition, the Acadiana Regional Airport in New Iberia,
Louisiana, recently reported sustained winds of 45 mph and a wind
gust of 61 mph.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key Messages for Barry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Intracoastal City to Shell Beach...3 to 6 ft
Shell Beach to Biloxi MS...3 to 5 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...3 to 5 ft
Biloxi MS to the Mississippi/Alabama border...1 to 3 ft
Lake Maurepas...1 to 3 ft

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

RAINFALL:  Barry is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
10 to 20 inches over south-central Louisiana and southwest
Mississippi, with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches. Across the
remainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12
inches. This rainfall is expected to lead to dangerous, life
threatening flooding.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occurring across portions of
the Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions should persist
through Sunday morning.  Wind gusts to tropical-storm force in
squalls are possible along portions of the coasts of Mississippi,
Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle through tonight.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes will be possible through tonight
across southwest Alabama, southern Mississippi, and southeast
Louisiana.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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