[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Fri Jul 12 16:56:31 CDT 2019

WTUS84 KLIX 122154
HLSLIX
LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-130600-

Tropical Storm Barry Local Statement Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL022019
454 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2019

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

...BARRY EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE BY LANDFALL ON SATURDAY...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Amite and Northern
      Tangipahoa

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Upper Jefferson and Upper Plaquemines
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Amite, Ascension,
      East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston,
      Northern Tangipahoa, Pointe Coupee, St. Helena, St. James, West
      Baton Rouge, West Feliciana, and Wilkinson
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, and Lower Terrebonne
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Lower St. Bernard, Orleans, Southern Tangipahoa, St.
      Charles, St. John The Baptist, St. Tammany, and Upper St.
      Bernard
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect
      for Hancock and Harrison
    - A Hurricane Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect for
      Assumption, Upper Lafourche, and Upper Terrebonne
    - A Storm Surge Warning, Tropical Storm Warning, and Hurricane
      Watch are in effect for Lower Plaquemines
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Jackson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 100 miles south-southwest of New Orleans LA or about 60
      miles west-southwest of Grand Isle LA
    - 28.7N 90.9W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement West-northwest or 300 degrees at 6 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...

At 400 PM CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Barry was located near
latitude 28.7 North, longitude 90.9 West. Barry is moving toward
the west-northwest near 6 mph. A motion toward the northwest should
begin during the next several hours,followed by a turn toward the
north Saturday night or Sunday. On the forecast track, the center
of Barry will approach the central or southeastern coast of Louisiana
through tonight and then make landfall over the central Louisiana
coast on Saturday. After landfall, Barry is expected to move generally
northward through the Mississippi Valley through Sunday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph with higher gusts. Strengthening
is forecast before landfall, and Barry is expected to be a hurricane
when the center reaches the Louisiana coast on Saturday. Weakening is
expected after Barry moves inland.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
devastating impacts across portions of southeast Louisiana and southern
Mississippi that are generally along and west of the I-55 corridor.
Potential impacts include:
    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. In mountain
      areas, deadly runoff may rage down valleys while increasing
      susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control
      systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.

Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
limited to extensive impacts across the remainder of southeast
Louisiana and southern Mississippi.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across coastal areas of southeast Louisiana and Mississippi.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the more inland low lying areas of coastal Louisiana,
and along the shores of Lake Maurepas.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across portions of southeast Louisiana that are near the
Atchafalaya River from Terrebonne through Pointe Coupee Parish.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across the remainder of southeast Louisiana and
southern Mississippi - with threat decreasing from west to east.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New Orleans LA around 11 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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