[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KMHX 110923
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NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-111730-

Tropical Storm Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 19
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL142018
523 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

**MICHAEL WILL AFFECT EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AS A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Outer Banks Dare and Outer Banks Hyde
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Beaufort, Carteret,
      Craven, Duplin, Greene, Jones, Lenoir, Mainland Dare, Mainland
      Hyde, Martin, Onslow, Pamlico, Pitt, Tyrrell, and Washington

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 420 miles west-southwest of Buxton NC or about 340 miles
      west-southwest of Morehead City NC
    - 33.5N 82.5W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 45 degrees at 21 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Michael currently over Georgia will track northeast
across the Carolinas today and tonight.

Tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts, are expected to
develop across Eastern North Carolina this afternoon and continue
through early Friday morning. The strongest winds are expected near
the coast and areas adjacent to the sounds. Winds along the coast
could gust to 50 to 60 mph, while inland areas could see gusts of 40 to
50 mph. These winds could result in downed trees causing sporadic
power outages, and even some minor structural damage. Be sure to
secure any tarps on rooftops from previous storm damage.

Periods of heavy rain are expected through late tonight. At this time
rainfall is expected to range from 1 to 3 inches, with locally higher
amounts. The heaviest rain is expected over the inland areas. This
could result in localized flash flooding given the already saturated
ground and debris from Florence potentially clogging drainages.

Some minor to moderate storm surge impacts will be possible with
Michael. Based on the current forecast track, minor inundation of 1 to
3 feet above ground level will be possible for areas along the coast
and adjacent to the sounds. Inundation of 2 to 4 feet above ground level
may be possible on the sound side of the Outer Banks, especially north
of Cape Hatteras tonight and early Friday as Michael lifts north of
the area. Minor beach erosion and overwash will be possible along the
beaches as well due to wave run up.

A few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon and evening.

Dangerous marine conditions are also expected, with seas building to
10 to 15 feet. A high threat of rip currents and large and dangerous
shore break is expected.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across Eastern
North Carolina. Remain well braced against a tornado event having
possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Eastern North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind
having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
coastal areas in Eastern North Carolina, especially for the sound side
of the Outer Banks north of Cape Hatteras. Remain well away from life-threatening
surge having possible significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
Eastern North Carolina. Remain well guarded against locally hazardous
flood waters having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a
battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

Quickly move to the safest place within your shelter if it begins to
fail, preferably an interior room on the lowest floor as long as
flooding is not a concern.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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