[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KRAH 110313
HLSRAH
NCZ008>011-025>028-041>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-111115-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Raleigh NC  AL142018
1113 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers central North Carolina

HURRICANE MICHAEL EXPECTED TO QUICKLY CROSS CENTRAL NC AS A TROPICAL
STORM THURSDAY


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Anson, Cumberland,
      Durham, Edgecombe, Franklin, Granville, Halifax, Harnett, Hoke,
      Johnston, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Nash, Richmond, Sampson,
      Scotland, Stanly, Vance, Wake, Warren, Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 390 miles southwest of Raleigh NC or about 350 miles
      southwest of Fayetteville NC
    - 32.1N 83.8W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 45 degrees at 20 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Remnants of Michael will impact Central North Carolina after sunrise
Thursday through Thursday evening. Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to
6 inches with locally higher amounts can be expected. This rainfall
could result in flash flooding, particularly in low-lying and poor
drainage areas. The Triad metro area is at particular risk of flash
flooding, due to very high rainfall rates tomorrow along with excessive
urban runoff. Due this heavy rainfall, river flood flooding ranging
from minor across eastern NC to moderate and major flooding across
central and western portions of North Carolina, will begin as early as
Thursday night and linger into early next week.

In addition, sustain winds of 20 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 to
50 mph can also be expected. Winds of this magnitude combined with
saturated soils will result in scattered downed trees and power-
lines.

Finally, there is the potential for an isolated and short-lived
tornado Thursday afternoon into the early evening.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across central North Carolina. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, and ditches
      overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
central North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across central North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:


Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Raleigh NC around 530 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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