[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Raleigh NC  AL142018
507 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers central North Carolina

**HURRICANE MICHAEL EXPECTED TO QUICKLY CROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NC AS
 A TROPICAL STORM THURSDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Durham, Franklin,
      Granville, Halifax, Nash, Vance, Wake, and Warren

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Anson, Cumberland,
      Durham, Edgecombe, Franklin, Granville, Halifax, Harnett, Hoke,
      Johnston, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Nash, Richmond, Sampson,
      Scotland, Stanly, Vance, Wake, Warren, Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 500 miles southwest of Raleigh NC or about 460 miles
      southwest of Fayetteville NC
    - 30.9N 85.1W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 16 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Michael made landfall along the Florida Panhandle or Big
Bend region on Wednesday afternoon, and is likely to cross the State of
Georgia and South Carolina tonight. By early Thursday morning, the
remnants of Michael will slide across the Carolinas, likely to impact
Central North Carolina after sunrise Thursday through Thursday evening.
Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with locally higher
amounts can be expected. This rainfall could result in flash flooding,
particularly in low-lying and poor drainage areas, followed by minor to
moderate river flooding across main stem rivers that will linger
through early next week.

In addition, strong winds of 30 to 40 mph can also be expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds of this magnitude combined with saturated
soils will result in scattered downed trees and power-lines.

Finally, there is the potential for an isolated and short-lived
tornado Thursday afternoon into the early evening.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across central North Carolina. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, and ditches
      overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
central North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across central North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Raleigh NC around 1130 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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