[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Tue Oct 9 16:23:14 CDT 2018

WTUS82 KTBW 092122
HLSTBW
FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-100530-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL  AL142018
522 PM EDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers West Central and Southwest Florida

**MICHAEL MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect
      for Coastal Hernando and Coastal Pasco
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Hernando, Inland
      Hillsborough, and Inland Pasco
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Inland Citrus and
      Inland Levy
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal Manatee, and Pinellas
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Coastal Citrus and Coastal Levy

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 300 miles southwest of Cedar Key FL or about 250 miles
      west-southwest of Mouth of Tampa Bay FL
    - 26.0N 86.4W
    - Storm Intensity 120 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...

Hurricane Michael is forecast to continue to move north northeast over
the Gulf of Mexico and will impact West Central and Southwest Florida
today through Thursday. The primary concerns at this time will be
dangerous storm surge flooding, especially along the Nature Coast
region, heavy rainfall which may cause localized flooding, and tropical
Storm force winds, mainly close to the coast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible devastating
impacts from Crystal River northward.  Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding greatly
      accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural damage to
      buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly compounded
      from considerable floating debris. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or
      severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.
    - Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many lifted
      onshore and stranded.

Also, protect against life-threatening surge having possible
significant to extensive impacts from the Anclote River to Crystal
River.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts from Anna Maria to the Anclote River, including Tampa Bay.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Levy County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential
impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
An evacuation order is in place for Levy County residents and visitors
in the coastal areas of Levy County, including, but not limited to,
Cedar Key, Yankeetown, Fowlers Bluff, Fanning Springs, and any other
area prone to storm surge.

A mandatory evacuation order for zone A and manufactured homes in Citrus
County is in place.

A voluntary evacuation order is in place for zones A and B as well as
manufactured homes in Hernando County beginning at 8 AM EDT Tuesday.

Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle.

Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose
items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle.

Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose
items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 12 AM, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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