[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KRAH 092114
HLSRAH
NCZ028-042-043-077-078-085-086-088-089-100515-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service Raleigh NC  AL142018
514 PM EDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers central North Carolina

Remnants of Hurricane Michael to Impact Portions of North Carolina on
Thursday and Thursday Night.


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Cumberland,
      Edgecombe, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Sampson, Scotland, Wayne,
      and Wilson

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Cumberland, Edgecombe,
      Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Sampson, Scotland, Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 820 miles southwest of Raleigh NC or about 770 miles
      southwest of Fayetteville NC
    - 26.0N 86.4W
    - Storm Intensity 120 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Michael is expected to make landfall over the Florida
Panhandle or the Big Bend on Wednesday, then accelerate to the
northeast, and will cross central NC Thursday afternoon and Thursday
night. Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches can be expected.
This rainfall could result in flash flooding, particularly in low-
lying and poor drainage areas, followed by minor to moderate river
flooding across main stem rivers that will linger through early next
week.

In addition, strong winds of 30 to 40 mph can also be expected. Winds
of this magnitude combined with saturated soils will result in
scattered downed trees and power-lines.

Finally, there is the potential for an isolated tornado Thursday
afternoon into the early evening.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across central North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Flash flooding may prompt several evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, and ditches
      overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
Sandhills and Coastal Plain Counties. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the
Sandhills and Coastal PLain Counties. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the
storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Raleigh NC around 1130 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net