[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 12
National Weather Service Charleston SC  AL142018
1125 AM EDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia

**HURRICANE MICHAEL STRENGTHENING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Allendale, Beaufort,
      Bulloch, Candler, Charleston, Coastal Bryan, Coastal Chatham,
      Coastal Colleton, Coastal Jasper, Coastal Liberty, Coastal
      McIntosh, Dorchester, Effingham, Evans, Hampton, Inland
      Berkeley, Inland Bryan, Inland Chatham, Inland Colleton, Inland
      Jasper, Inland Liberty, Inland McIntosh, Jenkins, Long,
      Screven, Tattnall, and Tidal Berkeley

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 660 miles southwest of Charleston SC or about 580 miles
      south-southwest of Savannah GA
    - 25.0N 86.2W
    - Storm Intensity 110 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Michael is forecast to make landfall along the Florida
panhandle Wednesday afternoon. Michael is then expected to move
northeastward across Georgia and South Carolina through Thursday as a
tropical storm. The main hazards across southeast South Carolina and
southeast Georgia are expected to include tropical storm force winds,
heavy rainfall, isolated tornadoes, coastal flooding, and dangerous
surf conditions. The main time period for the most significant impacts
is expected to be Wednesday afternoon through Thursday evening.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges and access routes
      impassable.
    - Travel by vehicle or on foot increasingly difficult. Danger of
      death or injury from falling objects such as trees or electric
      wires outside.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines, which could persist for hours
      or days.
    - Some poorly secured small craft could break loose from their
      moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia.
Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding could prompt some rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries could quickly become swollen with
      swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,
      especially in normally vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places could experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - Isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans.
    - Isolated locations could experience tornado damage, along with
      power and communications disruptions.
    - In isolated locations, tornadoes could damage trees, vehicles,
      boats and buildings, especially mobile homes and other poorly
      constructed structures.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Life-threatening rip currents and rough surf are expected at area
beaches. Some beach erosion is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across low-lying coastal areas of southeast South Carolina and southeast
Georgia. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation of saltwater mainly along immediate
      shorelines and in low-lying spots farther inland near rivers
      and creeks.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions hazardous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Minor to moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf possibly breaching
      dunes, mainly in normally vulnerable locations. Strong rip
      currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Charleston SC around 6 pm EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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