[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 8 17:09:04 CDT 2018
WTUS84 KMOB 082208
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-090615-
Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL142018
508 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**Hurricane Michael will continue to move northward and strengthen
bringing impacts to the western Florida Panhandle and southern
Alabama**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning
for Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa
Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Watch
and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical
Storm Warning for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Covington,
Mobile Central, and Mobile Coastal
- The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning
and a Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Escambia Coastal
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Covington, Mobile Central,
and Mobile Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect for
Escambia Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Escambia Inland, Okaloosa
Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Butler,
Conecuh, Crenshaw, Escambia, and Monroe
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 590 miles south-southeast of Pensacola FL or about 570
miles south of Destin FL
- 22.2N 85.2W
- Storm Intensity 80 mph
- Movement North or 355 degrees at 9 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
At 4:00 PM CDT, Hurricane Michael was located near latitude 22.2
North, longitude 85.2 West. Michael was moving toward the north at
9 mph. The hurricane will continue to move north over the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico tonight into Tuesday and near the Florida Panhandle on
Wednesday. A hurricane warning is now in effect from the Alabama and
Florida state line east through Destin. A tropical warning and hurricane
watch is now in effect for coastal southwest Alabama and Covington
county in south central Alabama. A tropical watch remains in effect for
the remainder of south central Alabama.
The storm surge watch has been extended westward and is now in effect
from the Alabama and Florida state line east through Destin. Possible
storm surge inundation between 2 and 4 feet will be possible in the
watch area as the core of Michael moves toward the gulf coast. Coastal
Alabama could see coastal flooding with inundation between 1 and 2 feet.
There will be a threat for flash flooding across portions of the
forecast area, especially along and southeast of Interstate 65.
There still remains uncertainty with regard to the latest track and
intensity of Michael, but the threat for impacts have increased across
much of the forecast area. Please continue to monitor the latest
forecast and prepare now for possible strong winds, heavy rainfall,
and storm surge flooding.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating
impacts across southeastern Okaloosa county. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Widespread power and communications outages.
Also, prepare for life-threatening wind having possible limited to
extensive impacts across the remainder of the western Florida Panhandle
and portions of southern Alabama.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the western Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across southwest Alabama.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi..
Potential impacts include:
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
and overflow in spots.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
closures.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.
If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle
ahead of time.
Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose
items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
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