[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 081538
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-082345-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL142018
1038 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**Michael becomes a hurricane and will continue to strengthen
as brings impacts to the western Florida Panhandle and southern
Alabama**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Escambia Coastal, Escambia
      Inland, Okaloosa Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
      Okaloosa Coastal and Santa Rosa Coastal
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baldwin Central,
      Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Conecuh, Covington,
      Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Monroe

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 660 miles south-southeast of Pensacola FL or about 640
      miles south of Destin FL
    - 21.2N 84.9W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 7 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 10:00 AM CDT, Hurricane Michael was located near latitude 21.2
North, longitude 84.9 West. Michael was moving toward the north at
7 mph. The hurricane will continue to move north into the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico today and near the Florida Panhandle as a hurricane on
Wednesday. A hurricane watch remains in effect from the Alabama and
Florida state line east through Destin. A tropical storm watch remains
in effect for southwest and south central Alabama, along and southeast
of Interstate 65.

A storm surge watch remains in effect from Navarre Beach, Florida,
eastward through Destin, Florida. Possible storm surge inundation
between 2 and 4 feet will be possible in the watch area as the core
of Michael moves toward the northeast gulf coast. To the west from
Navarre Beach to the Alabama and Florida state line, coastal flooding
with inundation between 1 and 2 feet will be possible.

There will be a threat for flash flooding across portions of the
forecast area, especially along and southeast of Interstate 65.

There still remains uncertainty with regard to the latest track and
intensity of Michael, but the threat for impacts have increased across
much of the forecast area. Please continue to monitor the latest
forecast and prepare now for possible strong winds, heavy rainfall,
and storm surge flooding.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible devastating impacts
across the Destin, Florida area. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
      and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
      greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
      may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
    - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places.
    - Widespread power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for life-threatening wind having possible limited to
extensive impacts across the remainder of the western Florida Panhandle
and portions of southern Alabama.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts
across portions of the western Florida Panhandle from Navarre Beach
through Destin Florida. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across across the remainder of the western Florida Panhandle
from west of Navarre Beach to the Florida and Alabama state line.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the western Florida Panhandle, coastal and
south central Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across the inland portions of southwest Alabama and
southeast Mississippi, little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 4 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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