[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 051135
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 5 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located near Cabo Gracias a Dios on the eastern border of Honduras
and Nicaragua have become more concentrated during the past several
hours.  Although strong winds aloft are located just to the north of
this system, the upper-level environment is expected to be conducive
enough to allow slow development, and a tropical depression could
form by late this weekend or early next week over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico while the system moves
slowly northwestward.  Regardless of tropical cyclone formation,
this disturbance will continue to bring torrential rains primarily
to portions of Central America and the Yucatan peninsula during the
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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