[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Nate Local Statement Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL162017
440 PM CDT Sat Oct 7 2017

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

**HURRICANE NATE RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE COASTS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Hurricane Watch has been cancelled for Ascension,
      Assumption, Livingston, Lower Lafourche, St. James, Upper
      Lafourche, and Upper Terrebonne
    - The Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Watch have been cancelled
      for Lower Terrebonne

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Lower Lafourche
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Lower Jefferson, Lower Plaquemines,
      Lower St. Bernard, Orleans, Southern Tangipahoa, St. Charles,
      St. John The Baptist, St. Tammany, Upper Plaquemines, and Upper
      St. Bernard
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Ascension,
      Assumption, Livingston, Lower Terrebonne, Northern Tangipahoa,
      Pearl River, St. James, Upper Lafourche, Upper Terrebonne, and
      Washington
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Upper Jefferson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 130 miles south-southeast of New Orleans LA or about 140
      miles south of Gulfport MS
    - 28.4N 89.1W
    - Storm Intensity 90 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 23 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

...OVERVIEW...At 4 PM CDT, Hurricane Nate is moving toward
the north- northwest near 23 mph as a strong Category 1 hurricane
with 90 mph winds, and is expected to pass over portions of Lower
Plaquemine Parish in the next few hours. Hurricane Nate is then
expected to make landfall tonight along the Mississippi
Coast.  The main impacts across southeast Louisiana and southern
Mississippi will be damaging winds and storm surge flooding along
the immediate coast and tidal locations.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
the immediate Mississippi coast and across parts of
Southeast Louisiana east of the Mississippi River outside of the
hurricane risk reduction levee system including portions of
Plaquemines, St. Bernard, Orleans, and far Southeastern St. Tammany
Parishes. Remain well away from life-threatening
surge having possible devastating impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding greatly
      accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural damage to
      buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly compounded
      from considerable floating debris. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or
      severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.
    - Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many lifted
      onshore and stranded.

Potential impacts from the main surge event are also now unfolding
across the immediate shoreline of Lake Pontchartrain and along the
Southeast Louisiana coast west of the Mississippi River to
Grand Isle. Remain well away from life-threatening surge having
possible significant to extensive impacts.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Mississippi coastal counties of Jackson, Harrison,
and Hancock as well as portions of extreme Southeast Louisiana
including much of Lower Plaquemines and Lower St. Bernard
Parishes. Remain well sheltered from life-threatening wind having
possible extensive impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding
across across inland areas of southern Mississippi
mainly east of the Interstate 55 corridor including Pearl River County
and parishes east of Interstate 55 corridor in Southeast Louisiana
including metro New Orleans.. Remain well sheltered from
dangerous wind having possible limited to significant impacts.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi. Remain well guarded
against locally hazardous flood waters having possible limited impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, bayous, and ditches may become
      swollen and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across the
Mississippi coastal counties and extreme Southeast Louisiana including
Lower Plaquemines and Lower St. Bernard Parishes. Remain well braced
against a tornado event having possible limited impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

IMMINENT/ONGOING PHASE - Do not return to evacuated areas until
hazardous winds diminish and flood waters abate.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to remain safely sheltered from the storm. Stay
inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case
you lose electrical power. Locate your battery powered radio and
flashlight from your Emergency Supplies Kit. Keep these items close.

During the peak of the storm, keep your shoes on and rain gear handy.
Boots and tennis shoes offer the best foot protection if you become
unexpectedly exposed to the elements.

Continue to keep your cell phone well charged for as long as
possible. If you lose power, use it more sparingly and mainly for
personal emergencies and check-ins. Do not overload communications
systems with idle chatter.

Do not venture outside while in the eye of a hurricane. Within the
eye, weather conditions may temporarily improve which can be
misleading. Once the eye passes, the wind will change direction and
return to dangerous speeds. Heavy rain will also return. Be smart and
remain safely hidden from the storm.

Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos. Be wise and avoid becoming another statistic.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New Orleans LA around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

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