[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Nate Local Statement Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL162017
1210 AM EDT Sat Oct 7 2017 /1110 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017/

This product covers EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA

...Nate now a Hurricane and continuing to strengthen as it moves
northwestward toward the central Gulf Coast...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Coastal Bay, Coastal Gulf, and South Walton
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Central Walton, Coffee,
      Dale, Geneva, Holmes, Inland Bay, North Walton, and Washington

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 560 miles south of DESTIN
    - 22.3N 86.4W
    - Storm Intensity 70 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 22 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Nate has strengthened to a hurricane this morning and is forecast to
continue strengthening as it moves northwestward across the central
Gulf of Mexico today. Nate will approach the central Gulf Coast
tonight and then turn northeastward as it moves inland across the
southeast on Sunday.

Tropical storm force winds and wind gusts will be possible across the
Florida Panhandle and portions of southeast Alabama starting this
evening and lasting through Sunday. As we are on the northeast side of
the storm, there will also be the potential for isolated tornadoes
across the Florida Panhandle and portions of southeast Alabama
starting this afternoon, with the threat expanding into southwest
Georgia on Sunday as Nate moves inland. Additionally, due to a
combination of above average tides and increased swells from Nate,
there is the potential for 2 to 4 feet of inundation along the Florida
Panhandle coastline and 1 to 3 feet of inundation for coastal areas of
Apalachee Bay and elsewhere along the Big Bend coastline.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
western portions of the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama. Potential
impacts in this area include:
    - Moderate damage to frame built homes, primarily due to the loss
      of roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches,
      awnings, carports, and sheds. Some windows and garage doors may
      fail. Mobile homes damaged, some significantly if unanchored.
      Unsecured lightweight objects become projectiles.
    - Several large trees uprooted; some snapped. Some large roadway
      signs blown over.
    - A few primary and some secondary roads are impassible due to
      debris.
    - Scattered power and communication outages; some locally
      significant, lasting for days.

Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Big Bend.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Florida Panhandle coastline. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation from storm surge flooding, compounded by
      higher waves. Non-elevated homes and businesses along the coast
      will be subject to flooding primarily on the ground floor.
    - Sections of coastal highways and access roads will be flooded
      with portions washed out, isolating affected coastal
      communities.
    - Moderate beach erosion with damage to the dune line.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers. Small craft not
      secured prior to the storm will break away from moorings.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across Apalachee Bay and the Florida Big Bend coastline.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama, and southwest Georgia.
Potential impacts include:
    - Isolated tornadoes are expected, resulting in a notable impact
      to affected communities.
    - Isolated areas affected by tornadoes will experience minor
      damage, including some damage to structures and sporadic power
      and communication outages.
    - A few structures will be damaged by tornadoes, mainly with loss
      of shingles or siding. Some mobile homes will be significantly
      damaged, especially those unanchored. Large trees will be
      snapped or uprooted.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the Florida Panhandle and southeast
Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized heavy rainfall may result in flooding of low lying
      areas, necessitating basic precautions to protect vulnerable
      structures.
    - Rivers and associated tributary creeks and streams will rise
      and approach bankfull levels. Runoff will increase water levels
      in area holding ponds and drainage ditches, reducing storage
      capacity to absorb future rainfall.
    - Isolated flooding in low lying areas will make driving
      difficult. Ponding of water in low lying areas may result in
      brief road closures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary
actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be
underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your Emergency
Supplies Kit is stocked and ready.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders
that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives
of others.

Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL as conditions warrant.

$$
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