[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KTAE 061527
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Tropical Storm Nate Local Statement Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL162017
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 6 2017 /1027 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017/

...NATE STRENGTHENING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Coastal Bay, Coastal Gulf, and South Walton
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Central Walton,
      Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Holmes, Inland Bay, North Walton, and
      Washington

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Coastal Bay, Coastal Gulf, and South Walton
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Central Walton, Coffee,
      Dale, Geneva, Holmes, Inland Bay, North Walton, and Washington

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - 790 miles south of PANAMA CITY
    - 18.7N 85.0W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 21 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Nate is continuing to slowly strengthen across the
Northwestern Caribbean Sea. Nate is expected to become a hurricane
on Saturday while moving across the Central Gulf of Mexico. Nate
will approach the Central Gulf Coast on Saturday night or Sunday as
a hurricane and then move inland across the Southeast Sunday night.

At this time, the potential is increasing for tropical storm force
winds, mainly in gusts across the Florida Panhandle and portions of
Southeast Alabama starting Saturday evening through Sunday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
Florida Panhandle and Southeast Alabama. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Minor damage to frame built homes, limited primarily due to
      loss of roof shingles or gutters as well as damage to porches,
      awnings, carports and sheds. Some mobile homes damaged.
      Unsecured lightweight objects blown around.
    - A few trees uprooted, with many large limbs snapped.
    - Isolated road closures due to fallen debris, especially in
      wooded areas.
    - Isolated power and communication outages.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across coastal areas of the Florida Panhandle. Potential
impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation from storm surge flooding, compounded by
      higher waves. Non-elevated homes and businesses along the coast
      will be subject to flooding primarily on the ground floor.
    - Sections of coastal highways and access roads will be flooded
      with portions washed out, isolating affected coastal
      communities.
    - Moderate beach erosion with damage to the dune line.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers. Small craft not
      secured prior to the storm will break away from moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the Florida Panhandle and Southeast
Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized heavy rainfall may result in flooding of low lying
      areas, necessitating basic precautions to protect vulnerable
      structures.
    - Rivers and associated tributary creeks and streams will rise
      and approach bankfull levels. Runoff will increase water levels
      in area holding ponds and drainage ditches, reducing storage
      capacity to absorb future rainfall.
    - Isolated flooding in low lying areas will make driving
      difficult. Ponding of water in low lying areas may result in
      brief road closures.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Florida Panhandle and Southeast Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Isolated tornadoes are expected, resulting in a notable impact
      to affected communities.
    - Isolated areas affected by tornadoes will experience minor
      damage, including some damage to structures and sporadic power
      and communication outages.
    - A few structures will be damaged by tornadoes, mainly with loss
      of shingles or siding. Some mobile homes will be significantly
      damaged, especially those unanchored. Large trees will be
      snapped or uprooted.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary
actions to secure your home or business. Ensure that your Emergency
Supplies Kit is stocked and ready.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties
which must be taken into account.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders
that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives
of others.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL as conditions warrant.

$$
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