[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Watch/Warning

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jun 21 04:49:55 CDT 2017


WTUS84 KMOB 210949
TCVMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
CINDY LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  AL032017
449 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2017

ALZ263-211800-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-
449 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - MOBILE
    - PRICHARD
    - THEODORE

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
        - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND OF 39 TO 57 MPH.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED WIND
          IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY TO SECURE ALL
          PROPERTIES.
        - HAZARDOUS WIND IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER
          MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LITTLE TO NONE
        - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
          MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
        - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
          UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES
          ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN
          OVER.
        - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN
          URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
          CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
        - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE
        - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET
          ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS
        - WINDOW OF CONCERN: BEGINS EARLY THIS MORNING

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          PEAK STORM SURGE FLOODING OF GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE
          GROUND.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED STORM
          SURGE FLOODING IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY.
        - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS
          OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IF
          RECOMMENDED. LEAVE IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE ISSUED.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
          IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
          FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
        - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME
          OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS
          IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. 1 TO 3 FEET OF
          INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION
          LEVEE ON THE EAST BANK OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN THE LAKE
          CATHERINE AREA AND LAKEFRONT AIRPORT. NO INUNDATION
          EXPECTED INSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES ON THE EAST
          BANK AND THE PARISH LEVEE ON THE WEST BANK.
        - MODERATE SHORELINE EROSION. HEAVY SURF. STRONG RIP CURRENTS.
        - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS,
          BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM
          MOORINGS.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
        - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 6-10 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY
          HIGHER AMOUNTS

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: EXTREME
        - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS
          ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT OF
          EXTREME FLOODING WHERE PEAK RAINFALL TOTALS VASTLY EXCEED
          AMOUNTS CONDUCIVE FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID INUNDATION.
          RESCUES AND EMERGENCY EVACUATIONS ARE VERY LIKELY.
        - TO BE SAFE, AGGRESSIVELY PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
          DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC FLOODING RAIN IMPACTS.
        - LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO TAKE
          ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY, SIGNIFICANT LOSS OF
          LIFE, OR HUMAN SUFFERING. IF FLOOD RELATED WATCHES AND
          WARNINGS ARE ISSUED, HEED RECOMMENDED ACTIONS. POOR
          DECISIONS MAY RESULT IN BEING CUT OFF OR NEEDLESSLY RISK
          LIVES. IF VULNERABLE, RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
          GROUND BEFORE FLOOD WATERS ARRIVE.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC
        - EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS
          AND RESCUES.
        - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR
          BANKS IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS,
          CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. IN
          MOUNTAIN AREAS, DEADLY RUNOFF MAY RAGE DOWN VALLEYS WHILE
          INCREASING SUSCEPTIBILITY TO ROCKSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES.
          FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
        - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
          COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR
          WASHED AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER
          ESCAPE ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF
          RAGING WATER WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS
          BECOME VERY DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES
          WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT
        - SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          ISOLATED TORNADOES, MOSTLY WITH SHORTER AND NARROWER DAMAGE
          PATHS.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED TORNADO
          IMPACTS.
        - LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. BE READY TO
          SHELTER QUICKLY IF A TORNADO APPROACHES.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE
          EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
        - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH
          POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
        - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS,
          CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR
          OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF,
          SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN
          OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS PULLED FROM MOORINGS.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - FOR EVACUATION AND SHELTER INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO:
        - MOBILE COUNTY EMA: 251-460-8000 OR WWW.MCEMA.NET
    - FOR STORM SURGE THREAT GRAPHICS AND OTHER STORM IMPACTS:
        - NWS MOBILE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB

$$

ALZ264-211800-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BALDWIN CENTRAL-
449 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - DAPHNE
    - FAIRHOPE
    - FOLEY

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
        - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND OF 39 TO 57 MPH.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED WIND
          IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY TO SECURE ALL
          PROPERTIES.
        - HAZARDOUS WIND IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER
          MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LITTLE TO NONE
        - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
          MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
        - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
          UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES
          ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN
          OVER.
        - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN
          URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
          CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
        - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE
        - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET
          ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS
        - WINDOW OF CONCERN: BEGINS EARLY THIS MORNING

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          PEAK STORM SURGE FLOODING OF GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE
          GROUND.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED STORM
          SURGE FLOODING IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY.
        - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS
          OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IF
          RECOMMENDED. LEAVE IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE ISSUED.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
          IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
          FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
        - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME
          OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS
          IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. 1 TO 3 FEET OF
          INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION
          LEVEE ON THE EAST BANK OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN THE LAKE
          CATHERINE AREA AND LAKEFRONT AIRPORT. NO INUNDATION
          EXPECTED INSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES ON THE EAST
          BANK AND THE PARISH LEVEE ON THE WEST BANK.
        - MODERATE SHORELINE EROSION. HEAVY SURF. STRONG RIP CURRENTS.
        - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS,
          BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM
          MOORINGS.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
        - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 6-10 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY
          HIGHER AMOUNTS

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: EXTREME
        - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS
          ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT OF
          EXTREME FLOODING WHERE PEAK RAINFALL TOTALS VASTLY EXCEED
          AMOUNTS CONDUCIVE FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID INUNDATION.
          RESCUES AND EMERGENCY EVACUATIONS ARE VERY LIKELY.
        - TO BE SAFE, AGGRESSIVELY PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
          DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC FLOODING RAIN IMPACTS.
        - LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO TAKE
          ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY, SIGNIFICANT LOSS OF
          LIFE, OR HUMAN SUFFERING. IF FLOOD RELATED WATCHES AND
          WARNINGS ARE ISSUED, HEED RECOMMENDED ACTIONS. POOR
          DECISIONS MAY RESULT IN BEING CUT OFF OR NEEDLESSLY RISK
          LIVES. IF VULNERABLE, RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
          GROUND BEFORE FLOOD WATERS ARRIVE.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC
        - EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS
          AND RESCUES.
        - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR
          BANKS IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS,
          CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. IN
          MOUNTAIN AREAS, DEADLY RUNOFF MAY RAGE DOWN VALLEYS WHILE
          INCREASING SUSCEPTIBILITY TO ROCKSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES.
          FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
        - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
          COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR
          WASHED AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER
          ESCAPE ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF
          RAGING WATER WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS
          BECOME VERY DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES
          WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT
        - SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          ISOLATED TORNADOES, MOSTLY WITH SHORTER AND NARROWER DAMAGE
          PATHS.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED TORNADO
          IMPACTS.
        - LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. BE READY TO
          SHELTER QUICKLY IF A TORNADO APPROACHES.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE
          EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
        - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH
          POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
        - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS,
          CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR
          OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF,
          SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN
          OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS PULLED FROM MOORINGS.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - FOR EVACUATION AND SHELTER INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO:
        - BALDWIN COUNTY EMA: 251-972-6807 OR
           WWW.BALDWINCOUNTYAL.GOV/DEPARTMENTS/EMA
    - FOR STORM SURGE THREAT GRAPHICS AND OTHER STORM IMPACTS:
        - NWS MOBILE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB

$$

ALZ265-211800-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-
449 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - GRAND BAY
    - DAUPHIN ISLAND
    - BAYOU LA BATRE

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
        - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND OF 39 TO 57 MPH.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED WIND
          IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY TO SECURE ALL
          PROPERTIES.
        - HAZARDOUS WIND IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER
          MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
          MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
        - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
          UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES
          ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN
          OVER.
        - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN
          URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
          CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
        - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE
        - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET
          ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS
        - WINDOW OF CONCERN: BEGINS EARLY THIS MORNING

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          PEAK STORM SURGE FLOODING OF GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE
          GROUND.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED STORM
          SURGE FLOODING IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY.
        - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS
          OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IF
          RECOMMENDED. LEAVE IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE ISSUED.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
          IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
          FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
        - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME
          OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS
          IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. 1 TO 3 FEET OF
          INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION
          LEVEE ON THE EAST BANK OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN THE LAKE
          CATHERINE AREA AND LAKEFRONT AIRPORT. NO INUNDATION
          EXPECTED INSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES ON THE EAST
          BANK AND THE PARISH LEVEE ON THE WEST BANK.
        - MODERATE SHORELINE EROSION. HEAVY SURF. STRONG RIP CURRENTS.
        - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS,
          BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM
          MOORINGS.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
        - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 6-10 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY
          HIGHER AMOUNTS

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: EXTREME
        - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS
          ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT OF
          EXTREME FLOODING WHERE PEAK RAINFALL TOTALS VASTLY EXCEED
          AMOUNTS CONDUCIVE FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID INUNDATION.
          RESCUES AND EMERGENCY EVACUATIONS ARE VERY LIKELY.
        - TO BE SAFE, AGGRESSIVELY PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
          DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC FLOODING RAIN IMPACTS.
        - LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO TAKE
          ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY, SIGNIFICANT LOSS OF
          LIFE, OR HUMAN SUFFERING. IF FLOOD RELATED WATCHES AND
          WARNINGS ARE ISSUED, HEED RECOMMENDED ACTIONS. POOR
          DECISIONS MAY RESULT IN BEING CUT OFF OR NEEDLESSLY RISK
          LIVES. IF VULNERABLE, RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
          GROUND BEFORE FLOOD WATERS ARRIVE.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC
        - EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS
          AND RESCUES.
        - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR
          BANKS IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS,
          CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. IN
          MOUNTAIN AREAS, DEADLY RUNOFF MAY RAGE DOWN VALLEYS WHILE
          INCREASING SUSCEPTIBILITY TO ROCKSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES.
          FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
        - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
          COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR
          WASHED AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER
          ESCAPE ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF
          RAGING WATER WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS
          BECOME VERY DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES
          WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT
        - SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          ISOLATED TORNADOES, MOSTLY WITH SHORTER AND NARROWER DAMAGE
          PATHS.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED TORNADO
          IMPACTS.
        - LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. BE READY TO
          SHELTER QUICKLY IF A TORNADO APPROACHES.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE
          EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
        - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH
          POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
        - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS,
          CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR
          OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF,
          SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN
          OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS PULLED FROM MOORINGS.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - FOR EVACUATION AND SHELTER INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO:
        - MOBILE COUNTY EMA: 251-460-8000 OR WWW.MCEMA.NET
    - FOR STORM SURGE THREAT GRAPHICS AND OTHER STORM IMPACTS:
        - NWS MOBILE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB

$$

ALZ266-211800-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BALDWIN COASTAL-
449 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - GULF SHORES
    - ORANGE BEACH
    - FORT MORGAN

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
        - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND OF 39 TO 57 MPH.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED WIND
          IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY TO SECURE ALL
          PROPERTIES.
        - HAZARDOUS WIND IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER
          MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
          MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
        - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
          UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES
          ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN
          OVER.
        - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN
          URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
          CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
        - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE
        - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET
          ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS
        - WINDOW OF CONCERN: BEGINS EARLY THIS MORNING

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          PEAK STORM SURGE FLOODING OF GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE
          GROUND.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED STORM
          SURGE FLOODING IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY.
        - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS
          OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IF
          RECOMMENDED. LEAVE IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE ISSUED.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
          IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
          FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
        - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME
          OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS
          IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. 1 TO 3 FEET OF
          INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION
          LEVEE ON THE EAST BANK OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN THE LAKE
          CATHERINE AREA AND LAKEFRONT AIRPORT. NO INUNDATION
          EXPECTED INSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES ON THE EAST
          BANK AND THE PARISH LEVEE ON THE WEST BANK.
        - MODERATE SHORELINE EROSION. HEAVY SURF. STRONG RIP CURRENTS.
        - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS,
          BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM
          MOORINGS.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
        - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 6-10 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY
          HIGHER AMOUNTS

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: EXTREME
        - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS
          ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT OF
          EXTREME FLOODING WHERE PEAK RAINFALL TOTALS VASTLY EXCEED
          AMOUNTS CONDUCIVE FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID INUNDATION.
          RESCUES AND EMERGENCY EVACUATIONS ARE VERY LIKELY.
        - TO BE SAFE, AGGRESSIVELY PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
          DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC FLOODING RAIN IMPACTS.
        - LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO TAKE
          ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY, SIGNIFICANT LOSS OF
          LIFE, OR HUMAN SUFFERING. IF FLOOD RELATED WATCHES AND
          WARNINGS ARE ISSUED, HEED RECOMMENDED ACTIONS. POOR
          DECISIONS MAY RESULT IN BEING CUT OFF OR NEEDLESSLY RISK
          LIVES. IF VULNERABLE, RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
          GROUND BEFORE FLOOD WATERS ARRIVE.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC
        - EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS
          AND RESCUES.
        - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR
          BANKS IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS,
          CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. IN
          MOUNTAIN AREAS, DEADLY RUNOFF MAY RAGE DOWN VALLEYS WHILE
          INCREASING SUSCEPTIBILITY TO ROCKSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES.
          FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
        - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
          COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR
          WASHED AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER
          ESCAPE ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF
          RAGING WATER WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS
          BECOME VERY DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES
          WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT
        - SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
        - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
          PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
        - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
          ISOLATED TORNADOES, MOSTLY WITH SHORTER AND NARROWER DAMAGE
          PATHS.
        - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED TORNADO
          IMPACTS.
        - LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. BE READY TO
          SHELTER QUICKLY IF A TORNADO APPROACHES.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
        - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE
          EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
        - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH
          POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
        - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS,
          CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR
          OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF,
          SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN
          OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS PULLED FROM MOORINGS.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - FOR EVACUATION AND SHELTER INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO:
        - BALDWIN COUNTY EMA: 251-972-6807 OR
           WWW.BALDWINCOUNTYAL.GOV/DEPARTMENTS/EMA
    - FOR STORM SURGE THREAT GRAPHICS AND OTHER STORM IMPACTS:
        - NWS MOBILE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB

$$
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