[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT34 KNHC 282042
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
500 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016

...CENTER OF MATTHEW MOVING INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 62.0W
ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM W OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM ENE OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Netherlands has issued a Tropical Storm Watch
for Bonaire.  The government of Curacao has issued a Tropical Storm
Watch for Curacao and the government of Aruba has issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for Aruba.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe and Martinique
* St. Lucia
* Dominica, Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadine Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36
to 48 hours.

Interests along the coast of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor
the progress of Matthew.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was
located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 62.0 West. Matthew is
moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h).  A westward motion
with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next
couple of days.  On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will
move away from the Windward Islands through this evening, and be
over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and
Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
primarily to the northeast of the center. A wind gust to 54 mph (87
km/h) was reported at Martinique within the past few hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue through this evening
over the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands
within the warning.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in
Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba, beginning late Thursday.

RAINFALL:  Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and
southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday.  These
rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north
into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and
British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3
inches are expected over Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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