[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 23 2016

..CENTER OF KARL MOVING CLOSER TO BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.8N 65.1W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case during the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case
during the next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 30.8 North, longitude 65.1 West. Karl is
moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A turn
toward the northeast and a faster forward speed are expected later
tonight, followed by acceleration toward the northeast on Saturday.
On the forecast track, the center of Karl should pass near or
southeast of Bermuda during the next 12 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours, and
Karl is forecast to reach hurricane intensity on Saturday and then
become post-tropical on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are spreading across Bermuda and
will continue through Saturday morning.  Hurricane conditions are
also possible on Bermuda tonight and early Saturday morning.

RAINFALL:  Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through Saturday.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda overnight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Karl are affecting Bermuda and are
expected to increase during the next couple of days.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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