[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KNHC 230540
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  35A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
200 AM AST FRI SEP 23 2016

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING KARL...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 64.3W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 64.3 West. Karl is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward
the north is expected today, with a turn toward the northeast
by Friday night.  On the forecast track, the center of Karl
should pass near or to the east of Bermuda on Friday night or
Saturday morning.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Karl
could become a hurricane on Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the north and east of the center.

The minimum central pressure just estimated by an Air Force
reconnaissance plane was 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by Friday
evening.

RAINFALL:  Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over Bermuda through Saturday and early Sunday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Karl are already affecting Bermuda and
are expected to increase during the next couple of days.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila
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