[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 061143
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Hermine, located off of the New England coast of the United
States.

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the central
Caribbean Sea and adjacent land areas are associated with a
tropical wave.  Upper-level winds are unfavorable, and development
of this system is unlikely as the wave moves across the Caribbean
Sea this week.  Periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds
could occur over Hispaniola today and over Jamaica and eastern Cuba
on Wednesday in association with this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is producing
disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. A low pressure area
is expected to form in association with the wave several hundred
miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands in a couple of days.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system after that time while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward into the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain
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