[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KOKX 051625
HLSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-060030-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  AL092016
1225 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT

HERMINE TO MEANDER SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN NEW
      HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...NORTHWESTERN
      SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK AND
      SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 310 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY NY OR ABOUT 230
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK POINT NY
    - 38.8N 68.8W
    - STORM INTENSITY 70 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH DECREASING FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF HERMINE WILL
MEANDER SLOWLY OFFSHORE OF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST THROUGH TUESDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUFFOLK COUNTY AND
SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF LONG ISLAND AND COASTAL
CONNECTICUT.

MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THE MAIN THREAT IS
ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. HAZARDOUS
SEAS...DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF...AND A LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT
RISK CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

A FEW HEAVY SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS
EASTERN SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT. HOWEVER...NO FLOODING IS
EXPECTED FROM THESE SHOWERS.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ALONG
THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS AND EASTERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.
IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
      IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
      FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD
      WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE
      SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG AND FREQUENT RIP
      CURRENTS.
    - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
      AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT WILL UNFOLD LATE TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS SUFFOLK COUNTY AND SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT.
REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM HAZARDOUS WIND. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS
      EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE
      HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER
      NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL
      FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
STAY TUNED TO ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL OFFICIALS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN. OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS
COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD
BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY AROUND 6 PM, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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