[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Sun Sep 4 05:57:11 CDT 2016

WTUS81 KPHI 041056
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-041900-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
656 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

***HERMINE WILL MEANDER OFF THE DELMARVA AND NEW JERSEY COASTS
 THROUGH MIDWEEK...PRODUCING DANGEROUS STORM SURGE...SIGNIFICANT
 BEACH EROSION AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY
 COASTS THROUGH LABOR DAY AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY***

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NEW
      CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE
      BEACHES...MIDDLESEX...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN
      MONMOUTH...SALEM...OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE
      MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL
      OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT 300
      MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DOVER DE
    - 36.8N 70.8W
    - STORM INTENSITY 65 MPH
    - MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

ALTHOUGH HERMINE HAS TRANSITIONED INTO A POST TROPICAL STORM,
THIS DOES NOT LESSEN THE IMPACTS, AND THEY SHOULD BE TAKEN JUST AS
SERIOUSLY. HERMINE IS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM AND IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO OUR REGION AS IT MEANDERS 100 TO 200
MILES OFFSHORE THROUGH MIDWEEK. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME
STRENGTHENING TO HURRICANE FORCE OVER THE WARM ATLANTIC WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS IN DELAWARE
AND NEW JERSEY THAT ARE NEAR THE COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE DELAWARE
BAY AND RARITAN BAY. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES THE COASTAL
WATERS AND THE DELAWARE BAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE NOW EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING, WHICH IS LATER
THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT IT COULD LINGER INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING IF THE STORM IS SLOWER TO MAKE ITS TURN
NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE AREA. THERE IS STILL REASONABLE
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY SLIGHTLY FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE BUT
THE STRONGEST WINDS LOOKS TO BE CONFINED TO OFFSHORE AND NEAR THE
COAST.

MINOR TO ISOLATED MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY AROUND THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS MORNING ALONG THE OCEANFRONT AND
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN BACK BAYS AND ALONG THE DELAWARE BAY.
DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL REACH THE COAST TONIGHT WHEN WIDESPREAD
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR WITH THE HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON MONDAY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. A
REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO IS FOR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING TO
OCCUR WITH THESE HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR
POTENTIAL MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS WITH THE MONDAY HIGH TIDE
ALONG THE DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST INCLUDING BACK
BAYS, AS WELL AS ON THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE DELAWARE BAY.

THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
THE AREA WITH THE FORECAST STORM TRACK TRENDING SLIGHTLY FARTHER
OFFSHORE.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND INTO MIDWEEK. SIGNIFICANT
BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. A HIGH
RIP CURRENT RISK AT THE BEACHES WILL POSE A SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE
FOR ANY SWIMMERS THAT DECIDE TO VENTURE OUT INTO THE OCEAN.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
THE SHORE OF DELAWARE BAY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      ENHANCED BY WAVES. IN PARTICULAR, RECORD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
      SOUTH OF THE ATLANTIC CITY AREA. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO SEVERAL
      BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS COULD
      BECOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE
      LOW SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING
      DUNES. STRONG AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS IS
      ANTICIPATED. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT MAY BE BROKEN AWAY FROM
      MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED AREAS.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY, EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND EASTERN MARYLAND,
LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND: PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
  IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY. POTENTIAL
  IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE: - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND
  SIDING IS LIKELY, ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS,
  CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS WILL EXPERIENCE WINDOW,
  DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DAMAGED,
  ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS COULD
  BECOME AIRBORNE. - SEVERAL LARGE TREES MAY BE SNAPPED OR
  UPROOTED. SEVERAL FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS COULD BE BLOWN OVER.
  - SOME ROADS MAY BE IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS. A FEW BRIDGES,
  CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES MAY BE IMPASSABLE. - THERE COULD BE
  SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
  IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
FARTHER INLAND ACROSS PARTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, SUCH AS THOSE ON A BARRIER ISLAND, CONSIDER
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED.
RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA FOR THE LABOR DAY
WEEKEND, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU
ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS
FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

AVOID PARKING YOUR CAR IN AREAS THAT ARE PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING.
KEEP IN MIND THAT ACCESS ROADS INTO AND OUT OF THE BARRIER ISLAND
ARE LIKELY TO BE CUT OFF, PARTICULARLY DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ AROUND NOON EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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