[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Sun Sep 4 00:28:05 CDT 2016

WTUS81 KPHI 040527
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-041330-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
127 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

***HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTHWARD OFF THE DELMARVA AND NEW
 JERSEY COASTS THROUGH MIDWEEK...PRODUCING DANGEROUS STORM
 SURGE...SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE
 DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COASTS THROUGH LABOR DAY AND INTO
 TUESDAY***

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NEW
      CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE
      BEACHES...MIDDLESEX...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN
      MONMOUTH...SALEM...OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE
      MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL
      OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT 260
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF DOVER DE
    - 36.5N 72.1W
    - STORM INTENSITY 70 MPH
    - MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 13 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

ALTHOUGH HERMINE HAS TRANSITIONED INTO A POST TROPICAL STORM,
THIS DOES NOT LESSEN THE IMPACTS, AND THEY SHOULD BE TAKEN JUST AS
SERIOUSLY. HERMINE IS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM AND IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO OUR REGION AS IT MEANDERS OFFSHORE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME
STRENGTHENING TO HURRICANE FORCE OVER THE WARM ATLANTIC WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS IN DELAWARE
AND NEW JERSEY THAT ARE NEAR THE COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE DELAWARE
BAY AND RARITAN BAY. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES THE COASTAL
WATERS AND THE DELAWARE BAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE NEAR THE COAST AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON
AT THE DELAWARE BEACHES AND TONIGHT FARTHER UP THE COAST. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON
BUT IT COULD LINGER INTO TUESDAY MORNING IF THE STORM IS SLOWER TO
MAKE ITS TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE AREA. THERE IS STILL
REASONABLE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY FARTHER INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY AND POSSIBLY AS FAR WEST AS THE I-95 CORRIDOR.

MINOR TO POCKETS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY AROUND
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TODAY. DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL REACH
THE COAST TONIGHT WHEN MODERATE TO MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
FORECAST TO OCCUR WITH THE HIGH TIDE TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON MONDAY
LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. A REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO IS
FOR NEAR RECORD COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR WITH THESE HIGH TIDE
CYCLES. THE GREATEST THREAT IS ALONG THE DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY COAST INCLUDING BACK BAYS, AS WELL AS ON THE SOUTHERN SHORE
OF THE DELAWARE BAY.

THERE IS A LIKELIHOOD FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL, MAINLY EAST OF
THE I-95 CORRIDOR. SOME AREAS NEAR THE COAST IN DELAWARE AND NEW
JERSEY COULD RECEIVE 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WHICH
MAY LEAD TO INLAND FLOODING OR CONTRIBUTE TO THE SEVERITY OF
COASTAL FLOODING. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND INTO MIDWEEK. SIGNIFICANT
BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. A HIGH
RIP CURRENT RISK AT THE BEACHES WILL POSE A SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE
FOR ANY SWIMMERS THAT DECIDE TO VENTURE OUT INTO THE OCEAN.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
THE SHORE OF DELAWARE BAY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      ENHANCED BY WAVES. IN PARTICULAR, RECORD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
      SOUTH OF THE ATLANTIC CITY AREA. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO SEVERAL
      BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS COULD
      BECOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE
      LOW SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING
      DUNES. STRONG AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS IS
      ANTICIPATED. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT MAY BE BROKEN AWAY FROM
      MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED AREAS.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY, EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND EASTERN MARYLAND,
LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COAST. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING IS LIKELY, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS WILL
      EXPERIENCE WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES
      MAY BE DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS COULD BECOME AIRBORNE.
    - SEVERAL TREES MAY BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. SEVERAL FENCES
      AND ROADWAY SIGNS COULD BE BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS MAY BE IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS. A FEW BRIDGES,
      CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES MAY BE IMPASSABLE.
    - THERE COULD BE SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT
      MORE PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS INLAND PARTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND POSSIBLY AS FAR WEST AS
EASTERN MARYLAND AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS ACROSS SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY COAST. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS IN THE
      TIDAL ZONE.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
      SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
      AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. RAPID PONDING OF WATER MAY OCCUR AT
      UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEVERAL
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO
      OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND EASTERN MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, SUCH AS THOSE ON A BARRIER ISLAND, CONSIDER
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED.
RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA FOR THE LABOR DAY
WEEKEND, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU
ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS
FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

AVOID PARKING YOUR CAR IN AREAS THAT ARE PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING.
KEEP IN MIND THAT ACCESS ROADS INTO AND OUT OF THE BARRIER ISLAND
ARE LIKELY TO BE CUT OFF, PARTICULARLY DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ AROUND 630 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
KLEIN
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