[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Sat Sep 3 17:32:18 CDT 2016

WTUS81 KPHI 032231
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-040645-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
631 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

***HERMINE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WITH LIFE
 THREATENING COASTAL FLOODING AND STRONG WINDS NEAR THE DELAWARE
 AND NEW JERSEY COASTS OVER THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND***

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NEW
      CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE
      BEACHES...MIDDLESEX...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN
      MONMOUTH...SALEM...OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE
      MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL
      OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT
      230 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DOVER DE
    - 36.2N 73.3W
    - STORM INTENSITY 70 MPH
    - MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

ALTHOUGH HERMINE HAS TRANSITIONED TO A POST TROPICAL SYSTEM, THIS
DOES NOT LESSEN THE IMPACTS, AND THEY SHOULD BE TAKEN JUST AS
SERIOUSLY. HERMINE IS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME STRENGTHENING OVER THE WARM ATLANTIC WATERS, AND IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO OUR REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK.

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS CURRENTLY EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
AND VIRGINIA BORDER. HERMINE WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE STORM IS THEN EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST LATE ON SUNDAY, AND THEN MEANDER OFF THE DELMARVA AND
NEW JERSEY COASTS INTO MONDAY. HERMINE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF DELAWARE AND
COASTAL NEW JERSEY FROM CAPE MAY AND DELAWARE BAY TO SANDY HOOK AND
RARITAN BAY. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES THE COASTAL WATERS AND ALL OF
DELAWARE BAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER
LAND AREAS NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST AND THE SHORE OF DELAWARE BAY.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS FARTHER
INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING
BACK WEST INTO THE I-95 CORRIDOR.

MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE STARTING THIS EVENING. MAJOR TO NEAR RECORD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY LATE MORNING,
WITH A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. THE GREATEST THREAT
IS ALONG THE DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST INCLUDING BACK BAYS,
AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE DELAWARE BAY. A STATE OF EMERGENCY
HAS ALREADY BEEN DECLARED FOR THE NEW JERSEY COUNTIES OF OCEAN, ATLANTIC,
AND CAPE MAY. FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL AUTHORITIES, INCLUDING ANY
POSSIBLE EVACUATION ORDERS.

THERE IS A LIKELIHOOD FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL, MAINLY EAST OF
THE I-95 CORRIDOR. SOME AREAS NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COULD RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES WHICH MAY LEAD
TO INLAND FLOODING OR ADD TO THE SEVERITY OF COASTAL FLOODING. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED THIS HOLIDAY
WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH RIP CURRENT
RISK CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES DURING THIS TIME. SIGNIFICANT
BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
THE SHORE OF DELAWARE BAY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      ENHANCED BY WAVES. IN PARTICULAR, RECORD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
      SOUTH OF THE ATLANTIC CITY AREA. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO SEVERAL
      BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS COULD
      BECOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE
      LOW SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING
      DUNES. STRONG AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS IS
      ANTICIPATED. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT MAY BE BROKEN AWAY FROM
      MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED AREAS.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING IS LIKELY, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS WILL
      EXPERIENCE WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES
      MAY BE DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS COULD BECOME AIRBORNE.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES MAY BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. SEVERAL FENCES
      AND ROADWAY SIGNS COULD BE BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS MAY BE IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS. A FEW BRIDGES,
      CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES MAY BE IMPASSABLE.
    - THERE COULD BE SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT
      MORE PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS INLAND PARTS OF NEW JERSEY, DELAWARE AND POSSIBLY AS FAR WEST AS
EASTERN MARYLAND AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
      SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
      AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. RAPID PONDING OF WATER MAY OCCUR AT
      UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEVERAL
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO
      OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN, IN A LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY, OR
NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
GROUND

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES
OF OTHERS.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND OTHER FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR
INTENTIONS AND WHEREABOUTS FOR SURVIVING THE STORM. FOR EMERGENCY
PURPOSES, HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS
YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS.
KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND WELL CHARGED.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH YOU ARE
LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF
STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR ONSITE
DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY PERTAINING TO
AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ AROUND MIDNIGHT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

LF
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