[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KOKX 021650
HLSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-030015-

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  AL092016
1250 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT

HERMINE MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AS HEAVY RAIN AND WINDS
SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN
      FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN
      NEW LONDON...HUDSON...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN UNION...SOUTHERN
      WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
      ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NORTHWESTERN
      SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
      SUFFOLK...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHERN QUEENS...NORTHERN
      NASSAU...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
      FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN
      NEW LONDON...HUDSON...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN UNION...SOUTHERN
      WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
      ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NORTHWESTERN
      SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
      SUFFOLK...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHERN QUEENS...NORTHERN
      NASSAU...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEW YORK CITY NY OR ABOUT 840
      MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTAUK POINT NY
    - 31.9N 82.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 50 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 18 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST OFF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST...AND THEN SLOW DOWN OR EVEN STALL
OFF THE COAST LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LONG ISLAND...NEW YORK
CITY...HUDSON AND EASTERN ESSEX AND UNION COUNTIES
OF NEW JERSEY...COASTAL CONNECTICUT...AND SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER
COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NY AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER INLAND.

SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR COASTAL
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM SUNDAY
ONWARD. HAZARDOUS SEAS...DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF...AND A LIFE
THREATENING RIP CURRENT RISK CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED FROM THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES IS
POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR UP TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF INUNDATION HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS OF LONG ISLAND...NEW YORK CITY...
CONNECTICUT...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...AND TIDAL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS
      WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND
      BARRIERS WILL BECOME STRESSED AND LIKELY OVERWHELMED.
    - SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS.
    - MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. MANY
      SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
      UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED.
    - ALONG THE OCEANFRONT...AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION FROM STORM SURGE
      AND BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS,
      WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING
      DEBRIS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 57 MPH. POTENTIAL
      IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS
      EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE
      HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER
      NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL
      FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* FLOODING RAIN:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BATTERING SURF CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DUNE
EROSION AND LOCALIZED OVERWASHES ARE FORECAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF ORDERED TO EVACUATE, PLEASE LISTEN AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS.
GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE THAT YOU TAKE ALL
ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. LET OTHERS
KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN OR A LARGE INLAND LAKE, IN A LOW LYING OR POOR
DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY OR CANYON, OR NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN
RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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