[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Fri Sep 2 05:24:00 CDT 2016

WTUS81 KPHI 021023
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-021830-

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
623 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

**TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WILL IMPACT THE REGION OVER LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN
      MONMOUTH...OCEAN...ATLANTIC...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE
      MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN
      BURLINGTON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 780 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT 730
      MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOVER DE
    - 30.8N 83.6W
    - STORM INTENSITY 70 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

HERMINE MADE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA LAST NIGHT AND HAS WEAKENED. AS A RESULT,
IT HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS ON SATURDAY AND OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE STORM IS THEN EXPECTED TO STALL OFF THE COAST SUNDAY AND
MONDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-
ATLANTIC COAST INCLUDING SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND COASTAL NEW JERSEY FROM
CAPE MAY TO SANDY HOOK. THIS WATCH ALSO INCLUDES COASTAL WATERS AND
THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS AND
TOWARD THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY. SOME TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE FARTHER INLAND.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. A MODERATE TO HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE
BEACHES DURING THIS TIME.

MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE FROM LATE SATURDAY ONWARD. SOME LOCALIZED MAJOR COASTAL
FLOODING CAN NOT BE RULED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN THE BACK BAYS WHERE
WATER ACCUMULATES WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE HIGH TIDE. THE MAGNITUDE OF
THE COASTAL FLOODING WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE PATH AND
STRENGTH OF THE STORM. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN 2 INCHES
OF RAINFALL. SOME AREAS NEAR THE COAST IN DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY MAY RECEIVE 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS,
WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS NEW
JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST
MARYLAND.. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
      MOBILE HOMES IS POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS COULD
      BE BLOWN AROUND.
    - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS MAY BE BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES COULD BE
      SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS MAY BE BLOWN
      OVER.
    - A FEW ROADS COULD BE IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
      CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS OR AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING, INCLUDING
THE BACK BAYS. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN
      AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS COULD BECOME
      OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE
      POSSIBLE IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING
      DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP
      CURRENTS ARE ANTICIPATED.
    - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
      AND PIERS IS POSSIBLE. A FEW SMALL CRAFT MAY BE BROKEN AWAY
      FROM MOORINGS.

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING FARTHER UP THE DELAWARE
BAY AND DELAWARE RIVER. SEEMINGLY MINOR SHIFTS TO THE STORM TRACK
COULD LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE CHANGES TO THE COASTAL FLOODING
POTENTIAL. ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS
ANTICIPATED.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
      SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
      AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. RAPID PONDING OF WATER MAY OCCUR AT
      UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEVERAL
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO
      OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN, IN A LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY, OR
NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
GROUND

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES
OF OTHERS.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND OTHER FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR
INTENTIONS AND WHEREABOUTS FOR SURVIVING THE STORM. FOR EMERGENCY
PURPOSES, HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS
YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS.
KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND WELL CHARGED.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH YOU ARE
LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF
STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR ONSITE
DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY PERTAINING TO
AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ AROUND 11 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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