[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Thu Sep 1 19:12:01 CDT 2016

WTUS81 KAKQ 020011
HLSAKQ
MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-093-095>100-509>525-020815-

HURRICANE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  AL092016
811 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

**TROPICAL STORM IMPACTS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND THE EASTERN
SHORE OF MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      WORCESTER...MARYLAND BEACHES...PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...WESTERN
      CURRITUCK...BERTIE...CHOWAN...PERQUIMANS...EASTERN
      CURRITUCK...NORTHUMBERLAND...LANCASTER...GLOUCESTER...MIDDLESEX...MATHEWS...SURRY...JAMES
      CITY...ISLE OF
      WIGHT...NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH...SUFFOLK...CHESAPEAKE...VIRGINIA
      BEACH...ACCOMACK...NORTHAMPTON...YORK...NEWPORT NEWS AND
      HAMPTON/POQUOSON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OCEAN CITY MD OR ABOUT 730 MILES
      SOUTHWEST OF NORFOLK VA
    - 29.1N 84.8W
    - STORM INTENSITY 80 MPH
    - MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

HURRICANE HERMINE...LOCATED ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 14 MPH. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...HERMINE WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHERN FLORIDA LATE
THIS EVENING. HERMINE IS THEN FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
ON FRIDAY AS IT MOVES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. THE STORM IS THEN EXPECTED TO
MOVE OFFSHORE OF NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SATURDAY MORNING WHILE REMAINING
A TROPICAL STORM.

IMPACTS FROM HERMINE COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
FRIDAY EVENING IN THE FORM OF HEAVY RAIN. IMPACTS FROM WIND...HIGH WAVES
AND SURF...AND COASTAL FLOODING COULD SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION
BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH IMPACTS CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS
HERMINE MOVES OFFSHORE AND SLOWS DOWN.

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HERMINE WILL LIKELY INCLUDE
POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING FROM 4 TO LOCALLY 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL. THE
HIGHEST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH THE TIDEWATER AREA...TO THE VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORE. IN
ADDITION...MODERATE TO NEAR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...WINDS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE ATLANTIC COAST...AND COASTAL WATERS OF
MARYLAND...VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH MAY AFFECT AREAS AS FAR WEST AS
RICHMOND. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE HIGH SURF...ALLOWING FOR
BEACH EROSION AS WELL AS DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS
    NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA INTO THE TIDEWATER OF VIRGINIA TO THE
    EASTERN SHORE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING, ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO
      PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS
      EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE
      HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, MORE WIDESPREAD IN AREAS WHERE
      SOILS ARE SATURATED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED AREAS. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
NEAR THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND NEAR THE JAMES...RAPPAHANOCK AND YORK RIVERS.

* SURGE: PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
  IMPACTS FOR AREAS ADJACENT TO THE OCEAN...BAYS AND TIDAL RIVERS
  ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH
  CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. POTENTIAL
  IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY
      ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES, AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD
      WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES
      WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF POSSIBLY BREACHING DUNES,
      MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS.
    - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS,
      BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND THE TIDEWATER OF VIRGINIA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PROMPT EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN, WITH SWIFT
      CURRENTS, AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES. SMALL
      STREAMS, CREEKS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES AND/OR WEAKEN
      FOUNDATIONS. SOME AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA EAST OF INTERSTATE 95...
AS WELL AS THE EASTERN SHORE.

* TORNADOES:
PREPARE FOR A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS NORTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED. AS A RESULT, EXECUTION OF
      EMERGENCY PLANS COULD BE HINDERED IN AFFECTED AREAS.
    - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
      AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
    - ROOFS PEELED OFF SOME BUILDINGS. A FEW CHIMNEYS ARE TOPPLED,
      WITH MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED. LARGE
      TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, WITH SOME TREES KNOCKED
      OVER. A FEW VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT
IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. EFFORTS SHOULD BE UNDERWAY
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT
IS STOCKED AND READY.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE THAT IS PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO HIGH WIND,
SUCH AS A MOBILE HOME, AN UPPER FLOOR OF A HIGH RISE BUILDING, OR ON
A BOAT, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER. TAKE ENOUGH SUPPLIES FOR YOU
AND YOUR FAMILY FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN, BAY, SOUND, A LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREA, OR
NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
GROUND.

HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS, AND COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. PAY ATTENTION TO ANY CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE
WWW.READYVIRGINIA.GOV, READYNC.ORG OR MEMA.MARYLAND.GOV
- FOR THE LATEST WEATHER AND STORM INFORMATION GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/WAKEFIELD

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD VA AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

MRD
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