[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 012207
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-020615-

HURRICANE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
607 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

**HERMINE TO AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN
      MONMOUTH...OCEAN...ATLANTIC...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE
      MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN
      BURLINGTON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 960 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT 910
      MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOVER DE
    - 28.5N 85.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 75 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

HERMINE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE NOW LOCATED OVER THE NORTHEAST
GULF OF MEXICO AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST. IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL LATE TONIGHT IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND THEN ACCELERATE
NORTHEASTWARD AS A TROPICAL STORM, MOVING OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. HERMINE IS THEN FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHEAST
OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST, BUT WILL LIKELY SLOW DOWN OR POSSIBLY EVEN
STALL OFF THE COAST LATER ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-
ATLANTIC COAST INCLUDING SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND COASTAL NEW JERSEY FROM
CAPE MAY TO SANDY HOOK. THIS WATCH ALSO INCLUDES COASTAL WATERS AND
THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS AND THE
LOWER BAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER INLAND.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY. A MODERATE TO HIGH RIP
CURRENT RISK WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL BEACHES SATURDAY THROUGH AT LEAST
SUNDAY. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM LATE SATURDAY ONWARD. TWO OR MORE INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR, WHICH MAY
CAUSE FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
      SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
      AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. RAPID PONDING OF WATER MAY OCCUR AT
      UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEVERAL
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO
      OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS OR AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN
      AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS COULD BECOME
      OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE
      POSSIBLE IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING
      DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP
      CURRENTS ARE ANTICIPATED.
    - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
      AND PIERS IS POSSIBLE. A FEW SMALL CRAFT MAY BE BROKEN AWAY
      FROM MOORINGS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
THE COASTAL PLAINS. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
      MOBILE HOMES IS POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS COULD
      BE BLOWN AROUND.
    - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS MAY BE BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES COULD BE
      SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS MAY BE BLOWN
      OVER.
    - A FEW ROADS COULD BE IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
      CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN, IN A LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY, OR
NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
GROUND

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH YOU ARE
LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF
STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR ON SITE
DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY PERTAINING TO
AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ AROUND 11 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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