[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Thu Sep 1 16:57:46 CDT 2016

WTUS82 KTAE 012156
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-020700-

HURRICANE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  AL092016
556 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016 /456 PM CDT THU SEP 1 2016/

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA

...HURRICANE HERMINE NEARING THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COASTLINE AND
TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LAFAYETTE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAFAYETTE
    - A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND BAY...CALHOUN
      AND COASTAL BAY
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      BAY...CALHOUN AND COASTAL BAY
    - A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND GULF...INLAND
      FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...LEON...INLAND
      JEFFERSON...MADISON...LIBERTY...INLAND WAKULLA...INLAND
      TAYLOR...COASTAL GULF...COASTAL FRANKLIN...COASTAL
      JEFFERSON...COASTAL WAKULLA...COASTAL TAYLOR AND COASTAL DIXIE
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
      HENRY...HOUSTON...WASHINGTON...JACKSON...INLAND
      DIXIE...QUITMAN...CLAY...RANDOLPH...CALHOUN...TERRELL...
      DOUGHERTY...LEE...WORTH...TURNER...TIFT...BEN HILL...IRWIN...
      EARLY...MILLER...BAKER...MITCHELL...COLQUITT...COOK...BERRIEN...
      SEMINOLE...DECATUR...GRADY...THOMAS...BROOKS...LOWNDES AND LANIER

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA OR ABOUT 140 MILES
      SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE
    - 28.5N 85.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 75 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

HERMINE IS NOW A HURRICANE AND CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST
TOWARD THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST. HERMINE WILL MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT
AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. HURRICANE
WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL AREAS IN THE BIG BEND, AS
WELL AS INLAND COUNTIES ALONG I-10 FROM LIBERTY COUNTY TO MADISON
COUNTY. IMPACTS WISE, BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND AND WILL TONIGHT. STORM SURGE INUNDATION
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST. THE MAIN
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING, INCLUDING WIND
DAMAGE - ESPECIALLY TREE DAMAGE RESULTING IN POWER
OUTAGES, FLOODING RAINS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. EVACUATIONS ARE
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR SOME COASTAL AREAS. PLEASE FOLLOW GUIDANCE
FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM
LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MAJOR DAMAGE TO FRAME BUILT HOMES, WITH SOME EXPERIENCING
      PARTIAL ROOF OR WALL COLLAPSE. NUMEROUS WINDOWS AND GARAGE
      DOORS WILL FAIL, LEADING TO ADDITIONAL STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
      MOBILE HOMES SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGED, WITH MANY DESTROYED. DAMAGE
      INCREASED BY LARGE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE
      FOR DAYS TO WEEKS.
    - NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED WITH ROADWAY SIGNS
      BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME PRIMARY AND MANY SECONDARY ROADS ARE IMPASSIBLE DUE TO
      DEBRIS.
    - SIGNIFICANT POWER AND COMMUNICATION OUTAGES; POTENTIALLY
      LASTING FOR WEEKS.

* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM LIFE-THREATENING
SURGE HAVING POTENTIAL DEVASTATING IMPACTS. IF
REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - WIDESPREAD, DEEP, AND POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC INUNDATION FROM
      STORM SURGE COMPOUNDED BY LARGE, POWERFUL BATTERING WAVES.
      SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN THE
      AREA, WITH MANY WASHED AWAY; LARGER STRUCTURES, SUCH AS
      CONDOMINIUMS AND HOTELS WILL SUFFER SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE; SOME
      WITH POOR SUPPORT WILL BE PRONE TO COLLAPSE. FLOATING DEBRIS
      WILL CREATE FURTHER DAMAGE. THOSE NOT EVACUATING RISK BEING
      SWEPT TO THEIR DEATHS. AREAS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
    - COASTAL HIGHWAYS AND SECONDARY ACCESS ROADS WILL BE WASHED OUT
      OR RENDERED IMPASSABLE, ISOLATING COASTAL COMMUNITIES.
    - EXTREME BEACH EROSION WITH NEW SHORELINE CUTS POSSIBLE.
    - EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, AND PIERS. SMALL CRAFT NOT
      SECURED PRIOR TO THE STORM WILL BREAK AWAY FROM MOORINGS
      POTENTIALLY WASHING ASHORE AND BEING STRANDED.

* FLOODING RAIN:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. REMAIN WELL GUARDED AGAINST
LIFE-THREATENING FLOOD WATERS HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS.
IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MAJOR FLOODING FROM RAINFALL WILL PROMPT EVACUATIONS IN FLOOD
      PRONE AREAS. THOSE NOT HEEDING EVACUATIONS IN THESE LOCATIONS
      FACE SERIOUS INJURY OR DEATH.
    - RIVERS AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARY CREEKS AND STREAM WILL RISE AND
      OVERFLOW INTO THE FLOOD PLAIN. RUNOFF WILL PUT STRESS ON AREA
      HOLDING PONDS AND DRAINAGE DITCHES, INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD
      OF WIDESPREAD URBAN FLOODING.
    - FLOOD WATERS WILL IMPACT STRUCTURES IN LOW LYING AREAS, AS WELL
      AS THOSE IN THE FLOOD PLAIN, POSSIBLY ENTERING BUILDINGS. URBAN
      FLOODING WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES AND SOME
      WASHOUTS. A FEW OVERPASSES MAY BE WEAKENED BY FAST MOVING FLOOD
      WATERS. DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE VERY DANGEROUS.

* TORNADOES:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM TORNADOES ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.
REMAIN WELL BRACED AGAINST A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE
 LIMITED IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED, RESULTING IN A NOTABLE IMPACT
      TO AFFECTED COMMUNITIES.
    - ISOLATED AREAS AFFECTED BY TORNADOES WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR
      DAMAGE, INCLUDING SOME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND SPORADIC POWER
      AND COMMUNICATION OUTAGES.
    - A FEW STRUCTURES WILL BE DAMAGED BY TORNADOES, MAINLY WITH LOSS
      OF SHINGLES OR SIDING. SOME MOBILE HOMES WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY
      DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY THOSE UNANCHORED. LARGE TREES WILL BE
      SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

NOW IS THE TIME TO REMAIN SAFELY SHELTERED FROM THE STORM. STAY
INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LISTEN FOR UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE
YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER. LOCATE YOUR BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND
FLASHLIGHT FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. KEEP THESE ITEMS CLOSE.

CONTINUE TO KEEP YOUR CELL PHONE WELL CHARGED FOR AS LONG AS
POSSIBLE. IF YOU LOSE POWER, USE IT MORE SPARINGLY AND MAINLY FOR
PERSONAL EMERGENCIES AND CHECK-INS.

DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE WHILE IN THE EYE OF A HURRICANE. WITHIN THE
EYE, WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY TEMPORARILY IMPROVE WHICH CAN BE
MISLEADING. ONCE THE EYE PASSES, THE WIND WILL CHANGE DIRECTION AND
RETURN TO DANGEROUS SPEEDS. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO RETURN. BE SMART AND
REMAIN SAFELY HIDDEN FROM THE STORM.

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE FL AROUND , OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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