[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 172319
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Nicole, located several hundred miles east-southeast of Cape Race,
Newfoundland.

A broad area of low pressure located near the southeastern Bahamas
is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized
thunderstorms over the western Atlantic between the Bahamas and
Bermuda.  Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for
significant development, but could become more conducive for
subtropical or tropical cyclone formation on Wednesday or Thursday
when the system begins to drift northward or north-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown
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