[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 170242
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER  52
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1100 PM AST SUN OCT 16 2016

...SWELLS GENERATED BY NICOLE EXPECTED TO CREATE DANGEROUS SURF
CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.5N 45.5W
ABOUT 570 MI...920 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was
located near latitude 40.5 North, longitude 45.5 West.  Nicole is
moving toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general
motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through late
Monday.  A north-northeastward motion at an even faster forward
speed is forecast on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Nicole is expected to produce hurricane-force winds
through Tuesday.  However, Nicole should lose its tropical
characteristics on Tuesday as well.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415
miles (665 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Large swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda, the
United States east coast, the coast of Atlantic Canada, the Bahamas,
the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands for the next several
days, creating dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.  These
swells are also likely to reach Europe and the northwest coast of
Africa in a couple of days.  Please refer to products being issued
by your local weather office for more information.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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