[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Oct 16 09:52:39 CDT 2016


WTNT35 KNHC 161452
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1100 AM AST SUN OCT 16 2016

...HURRICANE NICOLE MOVING SLOWLY OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...
...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF HIGH SEAS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.1N 46.6W
ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was
located near latitude 39.1 North, longitude 46.6 West. Nicole is
moving toward the east-southeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the
northeast is expected by tonight.  A faster north-northeast to
northeastward motion is forecast to occur by Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, but
Nicole is expected to maintain hurricane strength through Monday.

Nicole is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up
to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells associated with Nicole will continue to affect
Bermuda, the United States east coast from the Carolinas northward,
and the coastline of Atlantic Canada over the next couple of days.
Swells from Nicole should begin to affect the United States east
coast south of the Carolinas, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and
the Leeward Islands in a day or two.  These swells will create
dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.  Please refer to
products being issued by your local weather office for more
information.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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