[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Oct 15 21:34:34 CDT 2016


WTNT35 KNHC 160234
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1100 PM AST SAT OCT 15 2016

...NICOLE'S WIND FIELD EXPANDING OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.4N 48.3W
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was
located near latitude 39.4 North, longitude 48.3 West.  Nicole is
moving toward the east near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion with
a decrease in forward speed is expected through Sunday.  A turn
toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is forecast
Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, but Nicole is expected to maintain hurricane strength
through Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 485
miles (780 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda, the United
States east coast from the Carolinas northward, and the coastline of
Atlantic Canada for the next couple of days.  Swells from Nicole
should begin to affect the United States east coast south of the
Carolinas, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward
Islands during the early part of next week.  These swells will
create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.  Please refer to
products being issued by your local weather office for more
information.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg
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