[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 131453
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1100 AM AST THU OCT 13 2016

...EYE OF NICOLE PASSING OVER BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.3N 64.6W
ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM E OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was
located near latitude 32.3 North, longitude 64.6 West. Nicole is
moving toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A northeastward
motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next day or
so.  On the forecast track, the center of Nicole will move away
from Bermuda this afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Nicole is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is forecast during the
next couple of days.

Nicole is a large hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).  An automated
surface station on Pearl Island in Bermuda measured sustained
winds of 87 mph (141 km/h) with a gust to 119 mph (191 km/h).

The latest minimum central pressure reported by reconnaissance
aircraft is 961 mb (28.38 inches).  The official reporting station
on Bermuda recently reported a pressure of 963 mb (28.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Do not venture out in the eye. Although winds in eye are
light, hurricane conditions will return soon after the eye
passes and will continue through early afternoon. Tropical
storm conditions will continue through this evening.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels in Bermuda. The surge
will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL:  Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 5 to 8 inches over Bermuda through this evening.

SURF:  Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the
next few days, and will spread northward along the United States
east coast from the Carolinas northward through the next few days.
These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.
Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office
for more information.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Berg

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