[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 121142
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
800 AM AST WED OCT 12 2016

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING NICOLE...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 66.9W
ABOUT 320 MI...520 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.61 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the large and distinct eye of Hurricane
Nicole was located near latitude 28.0 North, longitude 66.9 West.
Nicole is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h),
but a turn toward the north with an increase in forward speed is
expected later today. An additional increase in forward speed with a
turn toward the north-northeast is forecast on Thursday. On the
forecast track, the core of Hurricane Nicole will near Bermuda on
Thursday.

Maximum sustained are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible during the next 36 hours, and Nicole
could be near major hurricane strength later today.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115
miles (185 km).

The latest minimum central pressure measured by an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is 969 mb (28.61 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to begin on Bermuda
Thursday morning, with tropical storm conditions expected to begin
tonight.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal
flooding in Bermuda.  Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL:  Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches over Bermuda through Thursday.

SURF:  Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the
next few days.  These swells will create dangerous surf conditions
and rip currents.  Please refer to products being issued by the
Bermuda Weather Service.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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