[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 112037
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
500 PM AST TUE OCT 11 2016

...NICOLE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 66.4W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Nicole was located
near latitude 27.4 North, longitude 66.4 West. Nicole is moving
toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A northwest to north-
northwest motion is expected tonight. A turn toward the north and
an increase in forward speed are expected Wednesday morning,
followed by a northeast turn late Wednesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Nicole is expected to approach Bermuda Wednesday night
and pass near Bermuda on Thursday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130
km/h) with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next day or so, and Nicole is forecast to be near major
hurricane strength by late Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).

The latest minimum central pressure reported by reconnaissance
aircraft is 980 mb (28.94 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal
flooding in Bermuda.  Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to begin on Bermuda by
Wednesday night, with tropical storm conditions beginning Wednesday
afternoon.

RAINFALL:  Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through Thursday.

SURF:  Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the
next few days.  These swells will create dangerous surf conditions
and rip currents.  Please refer to products being issued by the
Bermuda Weather Service.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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