[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 110834
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
500 AM AST TUE OCT 11 2016

...NICOLE HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.1N 65.9W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for Bermuda.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Warning will likely be required for Bermuda later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was
located near latitude 27.1 North, longitude 65.9 West. Nicole is
moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). This general
motion should continue today. A turn toward the north and an
increase in forward speed is expected on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Nicole is expected to become a hurricane later tonight or Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells associated with Nicole should increase on Bermuda
during the next couple of days.  These swells will create dangerous
surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being
issued by the Bermuda Weather Service and to the High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1
and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible on Bermuda by Wednesday
night.  Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin on Bermuda
late Wednesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila
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