[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMHX 082208
HLSMHX
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-090615-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  AL142016
608 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

**HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH
SUNDAY**
**CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING WILL DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CARTERET...ONSLOW
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CARTERET...ONSLOW
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
      MARTIN...PITT...WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...MAINLAND
      DARE...GREENE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND
      HYDE...DUPLIN...LENOIR...JONES...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...OUTER BANKS
      DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BUXTON NC OR ABOUT 110 MILES
      SOUTHWEST OF MOREHEAD CITY NC
    - 33.8N 78.2W
    - STORM INTENSITY 75 MPH
    - MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 13 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW IS MOVING ACROSS CAPE FEAR LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK MOVES MATTHEW TO CAPE
LOOKOUT OVERNIGHT AND THEN SLOWLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 TO 60 MPH
INLAND AND GUSTS TO 65 TO 75 MPH ACROSS THE CRYSTAL COAST ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING INLAND, AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST.
THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
80 MPH POSSIBLE. THE VERY SATURATED GROUND WILL INCREASE THE THREAT
FOR DOWNED TREES, EVEN WITH GUSTS IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE,
INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH HURRICANE MATTHEW CONTINUES TO BE VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS OCCURRING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 8 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
RAINFALL IS CAUSING VERY SERIOUS FLOODING ACROSS MOST AREAS SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 70 AND THIS THREAT WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE REST OF THE
REGION OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE ALREADY HIGH WATER LEVELS ALONG THE RIVERS
AND SOUNDS, RAINFALL WILL HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME DRAINING, INCREASING
THE POTENTIAL FOR RECORD FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. SEVERAL WATER
RESCUES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
AND IT IS ADVISED THAT EVERYONE REMAIN OFF THE ROADWAYS. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL AND ENCOUNTER FLOODED ROADS, TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE REGION IS CAUSING RAPID RISES IN AREA
RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE NEUSE, TAR, CAPE FEAR, AND TRENT RIVERS ALONG
WITH SEVERAL SMALLER RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE PROJECTED TO SEE RISES
APPROACHING THOSE SEEN DURING HURRICANE FLOYD. THIS WILL RESULT IN
CATASTROPHIC FLOODING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WHICH WILL LAST
WELL INTO THE NEXT COUPLE WEEKS.

MINOR TO MODERATE STORM SURGE IMPACTS WILL CONTINUE WITH HURRICANE
MATTHEW. THE PRIMARY THREAT IS FOR INUNDATION REACHING 3 TO 5 FEET
ABOVE GROUND AND LOCALLY HIGHER IN LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY FOR
AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND, INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND
PAMLICO RIVERS, AND ISOLATED AREAS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ALBEMARLE
SOUND, ALONG WITH SOUTHERN HATTERAS ISLAND AND OCRACOKE. OCEANSIDE
BEACHES NORTH OF RODANTHE AND ISOLATED LOCATIONS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
ALBEMARLE SOUND MAY ALSO SEE INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND.

HIGH SURF AND BREAKING WAVES WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE BEACH
EROSION AND MINOR TO MODERATE OCEAN OVERWASH. THE CRYSTAL COAST,
ESPECIALLY NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH, AND THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS WOULD SEE
THE WORSE EROSION, PEAKING SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

OVER WASH AND SOUND SIDE FLOODING WILL LIKELY CAUSE ISSUES ON HIGHWAY
12 ON THE OUTER BANKS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. VULNERABLE AREAS
ALONG THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS SUCH AS KITTY HAWK AND DUCK COULD ALSO
EXPERIENCE EROSION AT MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED WITH WAVES OF 20 FEET OR GREATER. A HIGH
THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ON ALL AREA BEACHES AND IT IS
RECOMMENDED TO AVOID SWIMMING.

ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING FOR AREAS ADJACENT
TO THE PAMLICO SOUND INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE COASTAL PLAIN. REMAIN WELL GUARDED AGAINST
LIFE-THREATENING FLOOD WATERS HAVING  ADDITIONAL DEVASTATING IMPACTS.
IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS
      IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS,
      CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. IN MOUNTAIN
      AREAS, DEADLY RUNOFF MAY RAGE DOWN VALLEYS WHILE INCREASING
      SUSCEPTIBILITY TO ROCKSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES. FLOOD CONTROL
      SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
      COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
      AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE
      ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF RAGING WATER
      WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME VERY
      DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED
      OR WASHED OUT.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE REGION. REMAIN WELL GUARDED AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING
FLOOD WATERS HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS.

* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND, INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND
PAMLICO RIVERS, AS WELL AS LOCATIONS ALONG THE SOUTHERN ALBEMARLE SOUND.
IN ADDITION VULNERABLE OCEAN FRONT AREAS SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS AND
NORTH OF RODANTHE. REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM LIFE-THREATENING
SURGE HAVING ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
      WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
      WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
      SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
      NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
      SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
      UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE ALSO NOW UNFOLDING
ACROSS  AREAS ADJACENT TO THE NORTHERN PAMLICO SOUND AS WELL
AS PORTIONS OF THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING ADDITIONAL LIMITED IMPACTS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS
ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 70 AND ALONG THE COAST AND SOUNDS, INCLUDING
THE OUTER BANKS. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM LIFE-THREATENING WIND
HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME HAVING
      WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO STRUCTURAL
      DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME DESTROYED.
      DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE
      UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
    - MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND
      ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE ALSO NOW UNFOLDING
ACROSS INLAND AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 70. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM
DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.

* TORNADOES:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM TORNADOES ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS AREAS
ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO SOUND, INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS. REMAIN WELL
BRACED AGAINST A TORNADO EVENT HAVING ADDITIONAL LIMITED IMPACTS. IF
REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
      OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
    - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
      AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
    - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS
      TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED,
      LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES
      KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS
      PULLED FROM MOORINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
DO NOT RETURN TO EVACUATED AREAS UNTIL HAZARDOUS WINDS DIMINISH AND
FLOOD WATERS ABATE.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO REMAIN SAFELY SHELTERED FROM THE STORM. STAY
INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LISTEN FOR UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE
YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER. LOCATE YOUR BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND
FLASHLIGHT FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. KEEP THESE ITEMS CLOSE.

DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM, KEEP YOUR SHOES ON AND RAIN GEAR HANDY.
BOOTS AND TENNIS SHOES OFFER THE BEST FOOT PROTECTION IF YOU BECOME
UNEXPECTEDLY EXPOSED TO THE ELEMENTS.

CONTINUE TO KEEP YOUR CELL PHONE WELL CHARGED FOR AS LONG AS
POSSIBLE. IF YOU LOSE POWER, USE IT MORE SPARINGLY AND MAINLY FOR
PERSONAL EMERGENCIES AND CHECK-INS. DO NOT OVERLOAD COMMUNICATIONS
SYSTEMS WITH IDLE CHATTER.

DO NOT BE A THRILL SEEKER OR RISK YOUR LIFE FOR SENSELESS PHOTOS OR
VIDEOS. BE WISE AND AVOID BECOMING ANOTHER STATISTIC.

BE READY TO MOVE TO THE IDENTIFIED SAFE ROOM IF YOUR HOME OR SHELTER
BEGINS TO FAIL. QUICKLY MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR.
PUT AS MANY STURDY WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE STORM AS YOU CAN.
PROTECT YOUR HEAD AND BODY.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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