[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Thu Oct 6 17:02:22 CDT 2016

WTUS82 KMLB 062201
HLSMLB
FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-070615-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  AL142016
601 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

...STRONGEST HURRICANE TO AFFECT THIS AREA IN DECADES
FAST APPROACHING...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND VOLUSIA
      COUNTY...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...SOUTHERN BREVARD
      COUNTY...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...OKEECHOBEE...ST.
      LUCIE...MARTIN...COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY AND NORTHERN BREVARD
      COUNTY
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN LAKE
      COUNTY...SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL OR ABOUT 140
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FL
    - 26.2N 78.6W
    - STORM INTENSITY 140 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD OVER
THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR OR OVER THE
EAST CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.

CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT AS THE OUTER RAINBANDS FROM MATTHEW
CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN BOTH NUMBER AND INTENSITY. EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS, LIFE-THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW CONTAINING THE
STRONGEST WIND GUSTS, STORM SURGE AND HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS WILL MOVE
VERY NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTLINE VERY
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.

WIDESPREAD EXTENSIVE TO DEVASTATING WIND IMPACTS WILL BE FELT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS LOFTED BY EXTREME WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BREACHING
STRUCTURES, UNPROTECTED WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EFFECTS SUCH AS THESE
HAVE NOT BEEN EXPERIENCED IN CENTRAL FLORIDA IN DECADES. LOCAL
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY EXCEED WHAT OCCURRED DURING THE HURRICANES OF
2004. EXPECT WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.

INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, THE THREAT IS HIGH FOR SUSTAINED HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS FOR A PERIOD OF TIME FRIDAY MORNING WITH A HIGH THREAT FOR
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FARTHER INLAND OVER LAKE COUNTY.

WITH AN EXPECTED TRACK CLOSE TO THE COASTLINE, THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE
THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING IS HIGH TO EXTREME. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF
VOLUSIA AND BREVARD COUNTIES, WITH 4 TO 7 FEET OF INUNDATION EXPECTED
OVER INDIAN RIVER, MARTIN, AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTY BARRIER ISLANDS.

LARGE BREAKING WAVES ALONG BEACHES WILL PEAK BETWEEN 12 TO 18 FEET AND
PRODUCE ROUGH, POUNDING SURF RESULTING IN A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD OF
COASTAL FLOODING FROM DUNE BREACHING, ALONG WITH VERY SEVERE BEACH
SCOURING AND SAND DUNE EROSION.

SIGNIFICANT DOWNWIND PILING AND SURGING OF WATER WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY, LAGOONS, AND INLETS. THE CLOSE APPROACH OF
MATTHEW'S EYE TO THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST MEANS PROPERTIES
FACING EAST AND WEST ALONG THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO WIND DRIVEN PILING OF WATER. ADDITIONALLY, WIND DRIVEN
PILING OF WATER WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE BANKS OF THE SAINT JOHNS
RIVER IN LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

HEAVY RAIN, ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS, WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
FREQUENCY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. SATURATED SOILS IN MANY AREAS
FROM HEAVY SEPTEMBER AND EARLY OCTOBER RAINFALL WILL HOLD VERY LITTLE
ADDITIONAL WATER BEFORE WATER QUICKLY BEGINS TO POND, ESPECIALLY IN
LOW LYING AND URBAN AREAS. STANDING WATER WILL BE CAPABLE OF QUICKLY
RISING, ESPECIALLY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS, AND COULD ENTER HOMES AND
BUSINESSES DURING MATTHEW'S PASSAGE.

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED
TO MONITOR THE LATEST TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER. ENSURE FINAL PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
READINESS PLANS HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE DEVASTATING
IMPACTS ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE ROOF
      AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE
      GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS
      MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR MONTHS.
    - NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. MANY BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE DEVASTATING
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - WIDESPREAD DEEP INUNDATION, WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATLY
      ACCENTUATED BY POWERFUL BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO
      BUILDINGS, WITH MANY WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE GREATLY COMPOUNDED
      FROM CONSIDERABLE FLOATING DEBRIS. LOCATIONS MAY BE
      UNINHABITABLE FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD.
    - NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE WASHED OUT
      OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY
      BECOME STRESSED.
    - EXTREME BEACH EROSION. NEW SHORELINE CUTS POSSIBLE.
    - MASSIVE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, PIERS, AND OTHER
      COASTAL STRUCTURES. NUMEROUS SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM
      MOORINGS WITH MANY LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN
      MULTIPLE PLACES. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY
      BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY
      BECOME STRESSED.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
      COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
      AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE ROUTES.
      STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF MOVING WATER WITH
      UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME DANGEROUS.
      MANY ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.

* TORNADOES:
PROTECT AGAINST A DANGEROUS TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
    - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER
      THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
    - SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW
      LOCATIONS SEEING CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND
      COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.
    - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE
      HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR
      UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT.
      DANGEROUS PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS AND
RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FL AROUND 12 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

ULRICH
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