[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Wed Oct 5 22:17:06 CDT 2016

WTUS82 KMLB 060316
HLSMLB
FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-061130-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  AL142016
1116 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

...MAJOR HURRICANE MATTHEW EXPECTED TO PASS VERY NEAR OR OVER
THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND VOLUSIA
      COUNTY...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...SOUTHERN BREVARD
      COUNTY...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...OKEECHOBEE...ST.
      LUCIE...MARTIN...COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY AND NORTHERN BREVARD
      COUNTY
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN LAKE
      COUNTY...SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL OR ABOUT 380
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FL
    - 23.4N 76.4W
    - STORM INTENSITY 115 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

MAJOR HURRICANE MATTHEW IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR AND OVER THE
EAST CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

THIS IS A EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION! THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THE CENTER OF MAJOR
HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL MOVE ALONG OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTLINE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. THIS WOULD BRING THE CORE OF MATTHEW'S WIND, SURGE AND RAIN
ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA, PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD EXTENSIVE TO DEVASTATING WIND IMPACTS TO THESE AREAS.

INLAND, THE THREAT IS HIGH FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH A HIGH
THREAT FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FARTHER INLAND OVER
LAKE COUNTY.

WITH AN EXPECTED TRACK CLOSER TO THE COAST, THE POTENTIAL FOR
LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING IS HIGH. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF
VOLUSIA AND BREVARD COUNTIES, WITH 3 TO 5 FEET OF INUNDATION
EXPECTED OVER MARTIN AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES.

LARGE BREAKING WAVES ALONG AREA BEACHES ARE FORECAST TO PEAK
BETWEEN 12 TO 18 FEET AND PRODUCE ROUGH, POUNDING SURF RESULTING
IN A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD OF COASTAL FLOODING FROM DUNE BREACHING,
ALONG WITH VERY SEVERE BEACH AND DUNE EROSION.

SIGNIFICANT DOWNWIND PILING AND SURGING OF WATER WILL OCCUR
WITHIN THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY, LAGOONS, AND INLETS. GIVEN THE
ANTICIPATED CLOSE APPROACH OF MATTHEW'S EYE TO THE EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST, PROPERTIES FACING BOTH EAST, AND EVENTUALLY WEST,
ALONG THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THIS WIND
DRIVEN PILING OF WATER. ADDITIONALLY, WIND DRIVEN PILING OF WATER
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE BANKS OF THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER IN LAKE
AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

HEAVY RAIN, ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS, WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
FREQUENCY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. SATURATED
SOILS IN MANY AREAS FROM HEAVY SEPTEMBER AND EARLY OCTOBER
RAINFALL WILL HOLD VERY LITTLE ADDITIONAL WATER BEFORE WATER
QUICKLY BEGINS TO POND, ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AND URBAN AREAS.
STANDING WATER WILL BE CAPABLE OF QUICKLY RISING, ESPECIALLY IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS, AND COULD ENTER HOMES AND BUSINESSES DURING
MATTHEW'S PASSAGE.

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED
TO MONITOR THE LATEST TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE DEVASTATING
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE ROOF
      AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE
      GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS
      MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR MONTHS.
    - NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. MANY BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS INLAND AREAS.

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS,
      WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING
      DEBRIS. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD.
    - LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS
      MAY BE WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS
      AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
    - SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS.
    - MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, PIERS, AND OTHER
      COASTAL STRUCTURES. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS,
      ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE
      AND STRANDED.

SIGNIFICANT DOWNWIND PILING AND SURGING OF WATER WILL OCCUR
WITHIN THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY, LAGOONS, AND INLETS.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFT
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND
      DITCHES WILL OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS WITH SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* TORNADOES:
PROTECT AGAINST A DANGEROUS TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
    - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER
      THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
    - SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW
      LOCATIONS SEEING CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND
      COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.
    - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE
      HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR
      UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT.
      DANGEROUS PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS AND
RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.

IF EVACUATING THE AREA, STICK TO PRESCRIBED
EVACUATION ROUTES. LOOK FOR ADDITIONAL TRAFFIC INFORMATION ON ROADWAY
SMART SIGNS AND LISTEN TO SELECT RADIO CHANNELS FOR FURTHER TRAVEL
INSTRUCTIONS. DRIVERS SHOULD NOT USE CELL PHONES WHILE OPERATING
VEHICLES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FL AROUND 6 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

ULRICH
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