[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE OTTO ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016
1000 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2016

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF
NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.7N 79.8W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM ESE OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM ENE OF LIMON COSTA RICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Nicaragua has issued a Hurricane Warning from
Bluefields south to the Nicaragua/Costa Rica border.

The Government of Costa Rica has issued a Hurricane Warning from
Limon northward to the Nicaragua/Costa Rica border.

The Government of Nicaragua has issued a Tropical Storm Warning and
a Hurricane Watch north of Bluefields to Sandy Bay Sirpi.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Limon Costa Rica to Bluefields Nicaragua

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Nicaragua north of Bluefields to Sandy Bay Sirpi
* The coast of Costa Rica south of Limon to the Costa Rica/Panama
border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Nicaragua north of Bluefields to Sandy Bay Sirpi
* The coast of Panama from Nargana to Colon
* San Andres

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Panama west of Colon to the Costa Rica/Panama border

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, usually within 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and Providencia Island
should monitor the progress of Otto.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM EST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Otto was located
near latitude 10.7 North, longitude 79.8 West. Otto is moving toward
the west-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h).  A westward to
west-northwestward motion and an increase in forward speed are
expected during the next couple of days.  On the forecast track,
the center of Otto is expected to move near or over the coasts of
southern Nicaragua and northern Costa Rica on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual strengthening is expected until the hurricane makes
landfall in Central America.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles
(95 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Outer rain bands from Otto are expected to produce
rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over San Andres and
Providencia islands, and the higher terrain of central and western
Panama and southern Costa Rica through Wednesday.  Total rainfall
of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated amounts of 15 to 20 inches, can be
expected across northern Costa Rica and southern Nicaragua through
Thursday.  These rains will likely result in life-threatening flash
floods and mud slides.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area on Thursday, and are possible in the hurricane watch
area in Costa Rica and Nicaragua on Thursday.  Tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area in Panama tonight
and in the warning area in Nicaragua on Wednesday night and
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in the
tropical storm watch area in Panama on Wednesday and in San Andres
by late Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Otto are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions over the next several days along
the coasts of Panama, Costa Rica and Nicaragua.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM EST.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM EST.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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