[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT33 KNHC 071153
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032016
800 AM EDT TUE JUN 07 2016

...COLIN BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE
OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.6N 77.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM S OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 170 MI...280 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning is discontinued along the Atlantic coast
south of Surf City, North Carolina.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Surf City to Oregon Inlet North Carolina

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
Satellite and surface observations indicate that Colin's
circulation is becoming less defined and Colin could lose its
status as a tropical cyclone by this afternoon.

At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was
estimated to be near latitude 33.6 North, longitude 77.8 West.
Colin is moving toward the northeast near 33 mph (54 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed
today and tonight.  On the forecast track, the center of Colin
should move near and parallel to the coast of North Carolina this
this morning, then offshore well east of the mid-Atlantic coast
later today. However, it's important to note that the strongest
winds and heaviest rains are well removed from the center.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some increase in strength is expected during the next 24 hours.
However, Colin is also expected to lose its tropical cyclone
characteristics today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
mainly to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts
of 1 to 3 inches across eastern North Carolina and central Florida
through today.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters.  The water could reach the following heights above ground if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Apalachicola to Naples Florida...1 to 2 ft.

Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along the
Atlantic coast of North Carolina within the tropical storm warning
area.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions could occur over portions of the
warning area this morning.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two will remain possible across parts of
the coastal Carolinas today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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