[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT33 KNHC 062345
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032016
700 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016

...COLIN NEARING THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 84.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SSE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM W OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Englewood
* Sebastian Inlet Florida to Oregon Inlet North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 84.7 West. Colin is
moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h).  A northeastward
motion at a faster forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday.
On this track, the center of Colin is forecast to move onshore of
the Florida Big Bend area in a few hours, then move across northern
Florida and southeastern Georgia through early Tuesday morning, and
move near or over the southeastern coast of the United States
Tuesday.  However, it's important to note that the strongest winds
and heaviest rains are well removed from the center.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast on Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
to the southeast of the center.  A WeatherFlow station at
Clearwater Beach Pier recently reported sustained winds of 40 mph
(65 km/h) with a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6
inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible across the
northeastern Yucatan peninsula, western Cuba, northern Florida,
southeastern Georgia, and coastal areas of the Carolinas through
Tuesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters.  The water could reach the following heights above ground if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amounts
possible in a few locations.
Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft.

Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along the
Atlantic coast from Florida to North Carolina within the tropical
storm warning area.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND: Brief squalls with winds to near tropical storm force will
be moving through portions of South Florida through this evening.
Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the
warning area along the west coast of the Florida peninsula through
the evening.  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the
warning area along the Atlantic coast by overnight tonight.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight across portions of
Florida and far southern Georgia.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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