[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jun 6 10:54:14 CDT 2016


WTUS82 KJAX 061553
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-070000-

TROPICAL STORM COLIN LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  AL032016
1153 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

**HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS THROUGH
TONIGHT**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
  IN EFFECT FOR SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...BAKER...NASSAU...DUVAL...
  UNION...BRADFORD...CLAY...ST. JOHNS...GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...
  PUTNAM...FLAGLER...MARION...GLYNN...CHARLTON...CAMDEN


* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 410 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JACKSONVILLE FL OR ABOUT 340
      MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GAINESVILLE FL
    - 27.0N 87.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 50 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 16 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM COLIN CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE TROPICAL STORM WILL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...TURNING NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON...APPROACHING
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. TROPICAL
STORM COLIN IS THEN FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR A MAJORITY OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE REGIONAL ATLANTIC
WATERS.

THE GREATEST LOCAL IMPACTS FROM COLIN WILL BE HEAVY AND POTENTIALLY
FLOODING RAINFALL AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST AND THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN DURING THE HIGH TIDE
CYCLE TONIGHT. STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW UP THE ST JOHNS RIVER MAY
PRODUCE FLOODING IN JACKSONVILLE DURING THE HIGH TIDE AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES OF COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COASTAL COUNTIES WILL BE FROM JACKSONVILLE NORTHWARD TO
BRUNSWICK WHERE ONSHORE FLOW WILL ENHANCE FLOODING AROUND HIGH
TIDE TONIGHT.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
      SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, ARROYOS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME
      SWOLLEN AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. A FEW PLACES WHERE RAPID PONDING OF WATER
      OCCURS AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SEVERAL STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME
      NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE
      CLOSURES.

* TORNADOES:
PROTECT AGAINST A DANGEROUS TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- THE OCCURRENCE OF SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
      OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW SPOTS
      OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE HOMES
      DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED,
      VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT. DANGEROUS PROJECTILES
      CAN ADD TO THE TOLL.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
      MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
    - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
      UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE
      SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON
      BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA COAST.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
   IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW- LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
  FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
   MARSHES AND ESTUARIES WILL BE FULLY FLOODED AT HIGH TIDE.
   POPULATED AREAS LIKELY TO FLOOD INCLUDE THOSE THREATENED BY
   FLOODING DURING STRONG NORTHEASTERS OR WHICH HAVE FLOODED DURING
   PAST TROPICAL STORMS.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME
      OVERSPREADWITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN
      PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
- MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY
   IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS.
- MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND
      PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH
AS NEAR THE OCEAN, A LARGE INLAND LAKE, A LOW LYING OR POOR
DRAINAGE AREA, OR NEAR A SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE
SHELTER OR HIGHER GROUND.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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